nba dfs

NBA DFS & Lineups & Picks for March 12, 2018

For the 3/12/18 NBA DFS slate, let’s take a look at the best picks for guards, forwards, and centers for your Cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. The info below can also be used when crafting your strategy on the FantasyDraft.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis, and value plays at the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice. Always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.


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LaMarcus Aldridge (knee)

Kawhi Leonard (quad)
Hassan Whiteside (hip)
Dwyane Wade (hamstring)
Tyreke Evans (ribs)
Skal Labissiere (hip)
Andrew Harrison (wrist)
Malcolm Brogdon (quad)
Manu Ginobili (rest)

Steven Adams (ankle)
Jarell Martin (foot)
Mario Chalmers (hamstring)
Ryan Anderson (hip)


NBA DFS Slate Breakdown for March 12, 2018

Milwaukee Bucks (-7) at Memphis Grizzlies (Over/Under – 207)

The Grizzlies remain a solid source for value plays and should provide an elite option at center tonight in Marc Gasol ($7.5k, $7.8k), provided he returns after resting on Saturday. He draws a juicy matchup against a Bucks team that gives up the second-most PPG (24.33) and third-most RPG (15.42) to opposing centers this season.

JaMychal Green ($7.1k, $6.2k) is a bit pricey on DK. Still, he’s worth using on FD at this price tag even with Gasol back. Jarell Martin ($5.1k, $4.5k) is a solid value on both main DFS sites, but he’s dealing with a foot injury and if he sits, Green and others would benefit.

Andrew Harrison (wrist), Mario Chalmers (hamstring) and Tyreke Evans (ribs) remain out, making Ben McLemore ($5.3k, $5.0k) will be safe to use in any format. Dillon Brooks ($4.9k, $5.2k) should also see a bump in usage.

On the other side, Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10.8k, $11.9k) is matchup-proof and capable of dominating the injury-plagued Grizzlies. He managed 27 points, nine rebounds, seven assists, two steals, and two blocks in a meeting with Memphis earlier this season. “The Greek Freak” is an appealing option on DK where his price is far more modest.

Eric Bledsoe ($6.8k, $7.5k) is worth using in GPP formats against a Memphis team that gives up the sixth-most FPPG (51.1) to opposing PGs over the last month. He’ll look to bounce back after a couple of quiet outings. The former Sun still has a clear path to huge minutes with Matthew Dellavedova (ankle) and Malcolm Brogdon (quad) out.

Finally, Jabari Parker ($4.7k, $5.3k) is a value with limited upside. He’s still on a strict minutes restriction.


San Antonio Spurs (+12.5) at Houston Rockets (Over/Under – 210)

This is a good game to target for values on the Spurs’ side of the ball although there is some risk of a blowout loss with LaMarcus Aldridge (knee) out and Kawhi Leonard (quad) not yet ready to return.

Pau Gasol ($5.7k, $6.0k) may not be fully healthy, but he’ll have to take on an increased role with Aldridge out. Kyle Anderson ($5.5k, $5.6k) should also step up, and Rudy Gay ($4.7k, $4.4k) is worth using as a low-upside value. Then, Davis Bertans ($4.2k, $4.4k) continued to meet value even while dealing with foul trouble on Saturday.

The Spurs’ backcourt is tough to trust because Gregg Popovich could mix up his rotations on a whim in an effort to contain the Rockets’ elite guards.

James Harden ($10.6k, $11.2k) will return after resting a sore knee on Sunday. He shouldn’t have much trouble meeting value at a discounted price tag on DK. Harden is averaging 28 PPG and 8.5 APG over two meetings with the Spurs. He’s not the strongest GPP option but is safe as always.

Chris Paul ($7.7k, $8.3k) is getting cheaper and cheaper, making him a worthy GPP play on a night when he may get overlooked. Trevor Ariza ($4.7k, $5.3k) has been a solid value of late. He would be worth deploying if Ryan Anderson (hip) is still out.


Sacramento Kings (+12) at Oklahoma City Thunder (Over/Under – 211)

Russell Westbrook ($11.6k, $12.1k) has not paid off his price tag in recent games and is worth fading in a matchup against the slow-paced Kings.

Since the Kings rank dead last in opponent 3-point shooting percentage (.383), Paul George ($8.3k, $8.8k) is a strong play tonight. If Steven Adams (ankle) can’t go, Patrick Patterson ($3.3k, $3.6k) would be a candidate to see more run. He’s another sharpshooter who could burn the Kings’ weak perimeter defense.

Further down the line, Jerami Grant ($3.8k, $4.0k) could be a solid value regardless. He might see extended run in the event of a blowout.

Willie Cauley-Stein ($6.2k, $7.2k) returned last night for Sacramento and could be worth using in tournaments if Adams is out. Otherwise, he’s a lackluster play.

With Skal Labissiere (hip) out, Zach Randolph ($5.8k, $5.9k) should see a healthy amount of run and likely won’t have to face a stalwart defender in Adams.

Frank Mason III ($5.0k, $3.9k) takes a hit with De’Aaron Fox (back) active, but he’s cheap enough to warrant consideration on FanDuel. Then, Bogdan Bogdanovic ($5.7k, $5.8k) is one of the few Kings worth using in Cash games. Finally, Garrett Temple ($3.8k, $3.8k) could be worth a punt play.


Miami Heat (+8) at Portland Blazers (Over/Under – 210.5)

While this matchup between top 10 defensive teams could be low scoring, it’s still worth targeting some of the best plays in the nightcap.

Damian Lillard ($9.3k, $9.5k) is still under priced on DK with a floor of around 40 FPs and a ceiling nearly as high as Harden’s, Westbrook’s and Antetokounmpo’s. It’s worth noting he managed just 18 points on 5-of-14 FG shooting in a previous meeting with Miami this season, but Lillard is on an incredible run right now. He’s hitting some of the toughest stepbacks we’ve seen while shooting 24-of-52 (.462) from deep over his last five appearances.

What’s more, C.J. McCollum ($6.6k, $7.3k) has been great over Portland’s last five games. He remains clutch in a tight playoff race. His upside is limited as the Robin to Lillard’s Batman but is a strong play at SG on FanDuel.

Jusuf Nurkic ($5.6k, $6.0k) could have a big game with Hassan Whiteside (hip) out, and Miami leans a lot on Kelly Olynyk ($5.6k, $5.1k) as a small-ball center.

Bam Adebayo ($3.8k, $3.5k) drew the start for Miami but got into foul trouble on Saturday night. He’s averaging 12.9 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 2.8 blocks per 36 minutes this season and would clearly exceed value if given even close to that amount of run tonight.

Josh Richardson ($5.3k, $5.9k), Tyler Johnson ($5.2k, $4.9k), and Wayne Ellington ($4.0k, $4.8k) continue to split time, limiting their upside. Yet, of that crew, Ellington is tempting as a punt play on DK.

Finally, Justise Winslow ($5.4k, $5.0k) remains a reliable Cash play despite his slowly rising price tag. Goran Dragic ($6.3k, $6.5k) a strong GPP play after dropping an absolute dud in Washington on Saturday. Dwyane Wade (hamstring) has been ruled out, securing the playing time of both players.

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Nate Weitzer
Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.