Aaron Jones: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 3 Packers Vs 49ers – September 26, 2021

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 26, 2021

Week 3 of the NFL season features Aaron Jones and the Green Bay Packers facing the San Francisco 49ers at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday. Below we dig into Jones’ stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this matchup.

Aaron Jones Player Props Vs The 49ers

2021 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 0 1
Games w/1+ TDs 1 1
Games w/2+ TDs 0 1

Aaron Jones’ Rushing Trends

  • Jones has rushed for a team-leading 76 yards on 22 carries (38.0 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown.
  • He averages 3.5 yards per carry (37th in league).
  • Jones’ 76 yards rank 36th in the NFL, and his one TD on the ground rank 12th.

Jones’ Receiving Trends

  • He’s also tacked on eight catches for 61 yards (30.5 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Jones’ 7.6 yards per catch average is 129th in the NFL

This Week’s Predictions

Jones (2021) League AVG (2021) vs 49ers (2021) Prediction
56.5+ Rushing Yards 50% 40% 25% 42.5%
1+ Rushing TDs 50% 33.6% 50.0% 48%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 0.0% 0.8%
26.5+ Receiving Yards 50% 64.1% 38.5% 48.9%
1+ Receiving TDs 50% 26.0% 23.1% 40.3%
2+ Receiving TDs 50% 3.9% 0.0% 31.7%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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