Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Game 7

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 18, 2024

The Denver Nuggets are favored by 4.5 points heading into a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Sunday, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The series is deadlocked 3-3. The point total in the matchup is 199.

Our computer predictions for Sunday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.

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Spread: Timberwolves (+4.5) to Cover

  • The model favors the Nuggets by 0.9 points, a much smaller margin than the 4.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Timberwolves to cover.
  • Minnesota is 40-40-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 4-4 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs this year.
  • Denver is 38-42-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread 25 times this season (25-28-2 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.

Think the Timberwolves will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 199

  • The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (21.5 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
  • Denver and its opponent have broken the 199-point mark 79 times this year.
  • So far this season, 72 Minnesota’s games have featured more than 199 points scored.
  • The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 35 out of 82 times this season.
  • So far this year, 41 out of the Timberwolves’ 82 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-198)

  • Prediction: Nuggets 111, Timberwolves 110
  • Denver has won 53, or 73.6%, of the 72 games it has played as the favorite this season.
  • Minnesota has been victorious in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.

Which team do you think will end up on top? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop: Under 13.5

  • Michael Porter Jr. puts up 16.7 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocks.
  • Sunday’s points prop for Porter is 13.5. That’s 3.2 less than his season average.
  • This season, Porter has scored beyond the points prop number in 39 of 77 games with a set total.
  • On offense, the Timberwolves are the 18th-ranked team in the NBA (113.0 points per game). Defensively, they are best (106.5 points allowed per game).

Explore all available player props for Michael Porter Jr. and other Nuggets players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Rudy Gobert Points Prop: Under 10.5

  • Rudy Gobert is averaging 14.0 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He’s making 66.1% of his shots from the field (second in league).
  • Sunday’s over/under for Gobert is 10.5 points. That is 3.5 fewer than his season average of 14.0.
  • He has gone up against a points prop bet in 81 games this season, and he’s gone over 40 times.
  • The Nuggets are 14th in the NBA with 114.9 points per game this season. At the other end, they rank sixth with 109.6 points allowed per contest.

Check out the prop bets available for Rudy Gobert and other Timberwolves players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

All stats in this article refer to the 2023-24 regular season.

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