The Boston Celtics (57-16) battle the New Orleans Pelicans (45-28) on March 30, 2024 at Smoothie King Center. The Celtics favored by six points in a contest pitting one of the strongest offensive teams in the league (the Celtics) versus one of the top defensive teams (the Pelicans). The matchup’s point total is set at 223.
Check out below for the best bets you can make on Saturday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Pelicans (+6) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (3.1 points) is slightly less than the 6-point edge DraftKings gives to the Celtics, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- New Orleans is 41-30-2 against the spread this year.
- The Pelicans have an ATS record of 3-2 when playing as at least 6-point underdogs this year.
- So far this season, Boston has put together a 38-32-3 record against the spread.
- The Celtics are 30-22-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
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Total: Over 223
- The model predicts a total 5.4 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Boston and its opponent have broken the 223-point mark 49 times this season.
- New Orleans’ games have finished with over 223 points scored 45 times this season.
- So far this season, 37 out of the Celtics’ 73 games have gone over the point total.
- A total of 31 Pelicans games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-230)
- Prediction: Celtics 116, Pelicans 113
- Boston has won 56, or 78.9%, of the 71 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- New Orleans has been chosen as underdogs in 28 games this year and has walked away with the win 15 times (53.6%) in those games.
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Jaylen Brown Points Prop: Under 21.5
- Jaylen Brown posts 23.3 points, 3.6 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game.
- Brown is scoring 23.3 points per game, 1.8 more than Saturday’s prop total.
- So far this season, Brown is 36-for-71 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- The Pelicans are 13th in the NBA in points scored (115.6 per game) and eighth in points allowed (110.4).
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Zion Williamson Points Prop: Under 26.5
- On a per-game basis, Zion Williamson gives the Pelicans 22.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.0 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.6 blocked shots.
- The 26.5-point over/under for Williamson on Saturday is 3.7 higher than his scoring average.
- Williamson has exceeded his points prop on 30 occasions this season (in 69 games with such a prop).
- The Celtics have been lifted by their offense, as they rank second-best in the NBA by tallying 121.1 points per game. They rank sixth in the league in points allowed (109.8 per contest).
Check out the prop bets available for Zion Williamson and other Pelicans players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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