In a contest featuring one of the sputtering squads in the NBA, the Memphis Grizzlies (24-49) face the Orlando Magic (42-31) at Amway Center on March 30, 2024. The Grizzlies have lost two in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 13 points. The matchup’s over/under is set at 207.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Saturday’s game.
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Spread: Grizzlies (+13) to Cover
- The model favors the Magic by 11.0 points, just 2.0 less than the 13-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Memphis is 34-38-1 ATS this season.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread three times this season (3-2 ATS) when playing as at least 13-point underdogs.
- Orlando has a 47-26-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Magic have covered the spread when playing as at least 13-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
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Total: Over 207
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (219.1 points) considerably higher than the DraftKings over/under (207 points). Bet on the over.
- A total of 54 times so far this season, Orlando and its opponent have combined to score more than 207 points.
- Memphis’ games have had over 207 points 56 times this season.
- Magic games have hit the over 31 out of 73 times this season.
- A total of 35 Grizzlies games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Magic (-850)
- Prediction: Magic 115, Grizzlies 104
- Orlando has been the favorite in 31 games this season and won 26 (83.9%) of those contests.
- Memphis has won in 18, or 31.6%, of the 57 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Franz Wagner Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Franz Wagner posts 19.6 points, 5.3 boards and 3.8 assists per game, shooting 47.9% from the floor and 28.6% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game.
- He averages 0.2 less rebounds than his prop bet Saturday of 5.5.
- He has recorded more rebounds than his total in 36 of his 64 games with a prop set this season.
- On the boards, the Grizzlies are 24th in the league in rebounds (42.2 per game). They are second-worst in rebounds conceded (45.8 per game).
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Jaren Jackson Jr. Rebounds Prop: Under 5.5
- Jaren Jackson Jr. is putting up 22.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He’s also draining 44.2% of his shots from the floor and 32.0% from 3-point range, with 1.8 triples per game.
- His rebounding average of 5.6 is lower than his over/under on Saturday (5.5).
- This will be his 66th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he has gone over on 20 occasions.
- The Magic rank best in the NBA by allowing just 39.9 rebounds per game. They rank 22nd in the league by grabbing 42.5 rebounds per contest.
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