A contest between a pair of the NBA’s top squads at defending against the three-pointer will see the Denver Nuggets (51-22) favored by 6.5 points against the Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22) at Ball Arena on March 29, 2024. The Nuggets give up just 11.3 triples per game (second in league), and the Timberwolves give up 11.3 (second). The over/under is set at 212.5 points for the matchup.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -6.5 | 212.5 |
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Injury Report as of March 29
Nuggets: Jamal Murray: Questionable (Knee), Zeke Nnaji: Out (Adductor), Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Nikola Jokic: Probable (Back)
Timberwolves: Jaylen Clark: Out (Achilles), Rudy Gobert: Questionable (Rib), Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Knee), Anthony Edwards: Questionable (Back)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Timberwolves (+6.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (212.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings
| Nuggets Avg. (Rank) | Timberwolves Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 114.6 (14th) | Points Scored | 113.1 (18th) |
| 109.9 (7th) | Points Allowed | 106.3 (1st) |
| 44.2 (9th) | Rebounds | 43.9 (11th) |
| 10.8 (11th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.5 (25th) |
| 11.4 (28th) | 3pt Made | 12.7 (15th) |
| 29.2 (3rd) | Assists | 26.5 (16th) |
| 11.7 (4th) | Turnovers | 13.4 (21st) |
Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
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Nuggets Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 70 | 26.1 | 12.2 | 9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Jamal Murray | 54 | 20.9 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 1 | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 72 | 16.9 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Gordon | 66 | 13.9 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Reggie Jackson | 73 | 10 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
Timberwolves Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 69 | 26.2 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 2.5 |
| Rudy Gobert | 66 | 13.6 | 12.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Naz Reid | 71 | 13.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Mike Conley | 67 | 11 | 2.9 | 6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 62 | 10.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
Betting Trends
- The Nuggets’ record against the spread is 33-38-2.
- As 6.5-point favorites or more, Denver is 16-17-1 against the spread.
- The Nuggets have played 73 games this season, and 30 of them have hit the over.
- Denver’s games have had more than 212.5 points scored on 55 occasions this season.
- The over/under in this matchup is 212.5 points, 12.0 fewer than the average total in this season’s Nuggets contests.
- The Timberwolves are 37-33-2 against the spread this year.
- Minnesota is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as a 6.5-point underdog or greater this season.
- The Timberwolves have seen 35 of their 72 games hit the over.
- Minnesota’s games have had over 212.5 points 51 times this year.
- The average total for Timberwolves games is 219.4 points, which is 6.9 more than this game’s over/under.
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