Week 16 Draftboard.com NFL DFS Lineup Picks, Promo Code, and Strategy
Week 16 of NFL DFS is here, and everyone is looking to score the big money at Draftboard.com. Every week, we’ll bring you our top daily fantasy NFL picks divided into the top Cash plays, GPP options, and values for each position.
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Let’s talk a little more strategy. As with any daily fantasy sport, the advice below is relevant for fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, gameflow, and various other factors. This is important to remember when drafting a roster at any daily fantasy sports site.
Best Week 16 NFL DFS Draftboard.com Plays & Picks
Cam Newton vs. TB ($8.9k)
We don’t necessarily know which of his receivers will have big days, but Cam Newton is in a great spot to keep rolling after shredding the Packers’ weak secondary for 242 passing yards and four TDs last week. He’s at home against a Bucs team that ranks 29th in passing DVOA while giving up the most passing YPG (271.3) this season. Newton’s dual-threat ability in the red zone gives him more upside than any other QB under Draftboard’s scoring system.
Upside GPP Play
Blake Bortles @ SF ($8.1k)
The Jaguars’ offense has evolved as the season has progressed. With more responsibilities, Blake Bortles is producing like an elite QB. He’s averaged 301 passing YPG with seven passing TDs over his last three appearances. He draws another plus matchup this week against a 49ers team that ranks 31st in passing DVOA and has improved in run defense, so we should see more aggressive play-calling from the Jags as they look to preserve Leonard Fournette (knee, ankle) for the playoffs.
Nick Foles vs. OAK ($8.1k)
While he’s no longer a slam-dunk value, Nick Foles draws an even better matchup in his second start since Carson Wentz suffered a season-ending injury. Oakland ranks dead last in passing DVOA. The Raiders also give up the second-highest passer rating (102.6) in allowing 20 passing TDs with just four interceptions on the year. Foles maintained Philly’s high efficiency in the red zone with four passing TDs last week. Plus, he has great personnel with which to burn Oakland’s often confused secondary.
Le’Veon Bell @ HOU ($9.6k)
When Antonio Brown (calf) left last week’s game, the Steelers’ offense began to revolve around Le’Veon Bell even more. The workhorse RB totaled 165 YFS on 29 touches in a playoff-type game against the Patriot. Now, he faces a Texans team that’s cratered due in part to injuries, giving up the sixth-most RuYPG (144.25) and facing the third-most rush attempts (27.25) over the last month. With Pittsburgh (-9) heavily favored on the road, this game lines up well for Bell to see around 30 touches and produce 150-plus yards once again.
Upside GPP Play
Ezekiel Elliott vs. SEA ($8.1k)
Because he’s perplexingly cheap across the DFS industry, Ezekiel Elliott could arguably be considered the top per-dollar option on Draftboard. He’s reportedly been working out like a fiend during his six-game suspension. Therefore, fatigue shouldn’t be a factor, and rust isn’t usually an issue for athletic RBs that just hit the hole and let their talent take it from there. Seattle’s run defense has been abysmal lately and should continue to struggle against the Cowboys’ elite offensive line on the road.
Dion Lewis vs. BUF ($5.7k)
Rex Burkhead (knee) is doubtful to suit up for the Patriots this week. That makes a huge difference for the outlook of Dion Lewis. After getting vultured on a short TD by Burkhead in the first half last Sunday, Lewis punched in an eight-yard TD, which proved to be the game-winner in Pittsburgh. Now, he faces a Bills team that gives up the most FPPG to opposing RBs this season and ranks 28th in rushing DVOA. The Patriots almost always exploit the weaknesses of their opponents, and unless Mike Gillislee is active, Lewis will be the primary candidate to finish drives on the ground this Sunday.
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Keenan Allen @ NYJ ($7.2k)
After a surprising down week against the Chiefs’ weak secondary, Keenan Allen has a chance to resume lighting the league on fire in another great matchup this Sunday. The Jets rank dead last in DVOA against the opposition’s top receiver. Hulking CB Morris Claiborne does not match up well against the ultra-quick Allen. The Charger has drawn at least eight targets in five consecutive appearances.
Upside GPP Play
A.J. Green vs. DET ($6.3k)
He should have a very light ownership rate after struggling mightily in a brutal matchup against top CB Xavier Rhodes and the Vikings. Yet A.J. Green and the entire Bengals offense could bounce back in a big way at home this week. The Lions’ defense has begun backsliding, allowing the sixth-most receptions (14) and third-most receiving YPG (188.33) to opposing WRs over the last month. Green’s talent should come through over the long haul, and he’s clearly a strong candidate to exceed value at this price tag.
Martavis Bryant @ HOU ($4.0k)
Fading the Steelers’ passing game might make sense on some DFS sites, but not when Martavis Bryant checks in at this modest price tag. He’s essentially going to take over as the top receiver for Pittsburgh while JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5.4k) sees increased usage in the slot with Antonio Brown out this week. Yet Bryant has even more upside as a downfield threat against a Texans team that’s given up the eighth-most pass plays (49) of 20-plus yards this season. Bryant regained the trust of Ben Roethlisberger with solid play of late.
Zach Ertz vs. OAK ($5.0k)
With the Bills’ defense likely to swarm all over Rob Gronkowski in a revenge game, Zach Ertz seems like the best per-dollar option at this position. It doesn’t hurt to face a Raiders team that ranks 23rd in DVOA pass defense against opposing TEs and 21st against passes over the middle of the field this season. Nick Foles’ presence under center could actually increase his usage since the backup QB is more limited in terms of pushing the ball downfield than Carson Wentz.
Upside GPP Play
Greg Olsen vs. TB ($3.7k)
Greg Olsen’s played on over 90 percent of offensive snaps in his last two appearances and is practicing in full for Week 16. Clearly, his foot injury is behind him. This makes Olsen a great option against Tampa’s horrific pass defense. The Bucs often play Cover 2, which leaves them vulnerable to TEs. This partially explains why Olsen was able to torch them for 210 receiving yards in two meetings last year.
Cameron Brate @ CAR ($3.0k)
He’s been sharing time with O.J. Howard, but sadly, the rookie suffered a season-ending ankle injury last week. With Howard out and top WR Mike Evans drawing all sorts of attention, Jameis Winston went to his security blanket in Cameron Brate for multiple key conversions in a comeback effort lats week. We could see more of that in the red zone against a Panthers team that will be without excellent coverage LB Thomas Davis (suspension) this week.