Week 16 Draft.com NFL DFS Lineup Picks, Promo Code, and Strategy
Week 16 of NFL DFS is here, and the daily fantasy contests are rocking over at Draft. Every week, we’ll bring you our top daily fantasy NFL picks for each position and break them down into shallow and deep draft picks.
H2H and Three-Team draft choices generally come with less risk and more stable floors, while the best 10-Team plays equal lots of risk and upside. Taking a chance on players with high ceilings and low floors is a good way to separate from the field.
Let’s talk a little more strategy. As with any daily fantasy sport, the advice below is relevant for fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, gameflow, and various other factors. This is important to remember when drafting a roster at all daily fantasy sites.
Best Week 16 NFL DFS DRAFT.com H2H and Three-Team Picks
Quarterbacks
Tom Brady vs. BUF
Russell Wilson @ DAL
Cam Newton vs. TB
Philip Rivers @ NYJ
Cam Newton is delivering the ball accurately enough and taking advantage of some plum matchups lately for the surging Panthers. Of course, his rushing ability puts him over the top in terms of upside. Hosting a Bucs team that gives up the most passing YPG (276.1) this season and having Greg Olsen (foot) back in the fold certainly improves his outlook.
Tom Brady resumed his status as an elite play with Rob Gronkowski back in the lineup. Brady’s line could’ve been much better if two of the Patriots’ drives didn’t result in rushing TDs during a 27-24 win over Pittsburgh. New England hosts a Bills defense this week that’s been unable to stop above-average offenses. Plus, Brady should see positive TD regression.
Russell Wilson and the Seahawks struggled mightily in a blowout loss to the Rams. But every week offers a new challenge or, in this case, a new possibility to thrive against a Cowboys team that ranks 22nd in passing DVOA and struggles to contain mobile QBs such as Wilson.
Philip Rivers continues to carry the Chargers’ offense. He draws a very favorable matchup against a Jets team that ranks 27th in passing DVOA and 13th against the run. Melvin Gordon is not known for his ability to finish deep in the red zone. Meanwhile, Rivers and Keenan Allen are shredding secondaries in those situations.
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Running Backs
Ezekiel Elliott vs. SEA
Todd Gurley @ TEN
Alvin Kamara vs. ATL
How can you not draft Todd Gurley after his monstrous performance last week? Albeit against an injury-depleted Seattle defense, he absolutely erupted for 180 YFS and four total TDs for one of the biggest outputs of the year. Gurley should keep rolling on the road against the mediocre Titans defense.
Alvin Kamara was slow to get going in his return from a concussion last week. And Mark Ingram carried the day in a home win over the Jets. However, the opposite scenario could occur in NOLA this Sunday. The Falcons give up the most receptions per game (6.54) to opposing RBs, and Kamara would’ve likely shredded that defense on Thursday night two weeks ago if he hadn’t been forced from the game with a head injury.
Ezekiel Elliott returns right in time for a juicy matchup against a reeling Seahawks defense. Seattle’s been vulnerable against solid RBs all year, even before losing several of its best run-stoppers. Elliott is obviously both elite and fresh as he comes off a six-game suspension.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Michael Thomas vs. ATL
Keenan Allen @ NYJ
Julio Jones @ NO
Rob Gronkowski vs. BUF
Michael Thomas is seeing insane volume with Ted Ginn Jr. (ribs) inactive. He’s corralled 19-of-25 targets for 210 yards and two TDs over his last two appearances. He got the better of Desmond Trufant and the Falcons’ secondary two weeks ago and will be relied upon heavily in a potential shootout at home.
Keenan Allen likely could’ve returned to face the Chiefs last Saturday had the deficit been more manageable. With the Chargers (-7) favored on the road this week, that’s less of a concern. The Jets’ horrendous defense against top WRs just allowed Michael Thomas to go off in a losing effort.
Julio Jones flopped again in a plus matchup at Tampa on Monday night, but the Bucs certainly had to roll coverage his way after his insane line against them two weeks prior. He’s still worth an early-round pick against a Saints pass defense that’s sprung leaks recently. Jones is fully capable of outplaying impressive rookie CB Marshon Lattimore.
Concerns of an easy home win for the Patriots aside, Rob Gronkowski is as elite of a receiving option as you’ll find this week. He’s shouldering a huge load with the Patriots’ receivers struggling and has consistently burned the Bills over the past several seasons.
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Best Week 16 NFL DFS 6- to 10-Team League Picks
Quarterbacks
Kirk Cousins vs. DEN
Drew Brees vs. ATL
Matt Ryan @ NO
Blake Bortles @ SF
Kirk Cousins is a great under-the-radar option at home this week against a Denver defense that’s surprisingly given up the fourth-most passing TDs (26) in the NFL this year. He’s long been more effective at home and is seeing a very high-volume role in the pass-happy Washington offense.
Drew Brees should be highly motivated to face off with the Falcons after costing his team a shot at a win two weeks ago with an interception in the end zone. Atlanta’s pass defense has posted good numbers but is generally only solid at the boundary. The Saints’ sophisticated offense could burn Atlanta on the interior.
Matt Ryan is a fine correlation play for anyone looking to stack the Saints-Falcons game, which opens with a 52-point over/under and features two high-scoring teams that usually thrive indoors. Both offenses disappointed at the Georgia Dome on a short week two Thursdays ago. They should find more success this Sunday.
Believe it or not, Blake Bortles is a viable late-round pick with Leonard Fournette (knee, ankle) banged up. The Jaguars will look to save their young stud for the playoffs. Bortles has been spreading the ball around to a number of young WRs of late. They should have little trouble torching the 49ers’ 29th-ranked pass defense this week.
Running Backs
Kenyan Drake @ KC
Mark Ingram vs. ATL
LeSean McCoy @ NE
Dion Lewis vs. BUF
Kenyan Drake is a volume-driven RB who is safe enough to take in the early rounds of some drafts. He produced RB1 results in a third consecutive game last Sunday and now faces a Chiefs team that ranks 31st in rushing DVOA.
LeSean McCoy is an all-purpose weapon capable of doing some damage against the Patriots’ mediocre front seven regardless of gameflow. If the Bills fall behind early, he could rack up PPR points. He could also be utilized to try and slow down the pace and keep the Pats’ offense on the sidelines.
Mark Ingram is clearly still worth a look, especially if someone else in your draft snipes Kamara. The main goal-line back for the Saints will have an opportunity to produce multiple TDs at home as per usual. He’s been utilized in the passing game nearly as often as Kamara.
Dion Lewis remains a solid option with a little more upside this week since Rex Burkhead (knee) could be sidelined. After Burkhead punched in a one-yard TD in the first half of the Patriots’ win in Pittsburgh, he departed the game. Lewis soon finished another drive with an eight-yard score, giving him an added facet to his already ample role.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
A.J. Green vs. DET
Tyreek Hill vs. MIA
Jarvis Landry @ KC
Larry Fitzgerald vs. NYG
The entire Bengals offense flopped alongside A.J. Green in an embarrassing blowout loss at Minnesota. Green draws a much better matchup this week in a fair fight for the Bengals at home against the Lions. He’s still an elite talent capable of burning CB Darius Slay when Andy Dalton gets enough time to throw.
Tyreek Hill came up with another huge splash play last Sunday and will remain a volatile, but appealing option at home against the Dolphins. Despite his solid performance against Brandin Cooks two weeks ago, Dolphins top CB Xavien Howard is far from elite. He remains quite vulnerable to speedsters such as Hill.
Jarvis Landry also drives a favorable matchup in the contest out in Kansas City. He comes off another 10-catch effort. The Chiefs’ coverage has been awful, and their slot corners have struggled in particular this year.
While he’s playing with another below-average QB, Larry Fitzgerald continues to do his thing. He draws a mouth-watering matchup against a Giants pass defense that’s fallen apart lately and has been vulnerable against slot receivers all year long.
