The New Orleans Pelicans (35-25) host the Indiana Pacers (34-26) at Smoothie King Center, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, March 1, 2024. The Pelicans are 5.5-point favorites in the game, the second matchup between the squads this season. The point total for the matchup is 238.5.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.2 points of each other.
- New Orleans is 32-26-2 against the spread this season.
- The Pelicans have covered the spread 11 times this season (11-7-1 ATS) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
- Indiana has a 32-25-3 record against the spread this year.
- When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this season, the Pacers have an ATS record of 6-6-1.
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Total: Under 238.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 1.7 points highter than the model projection.
- A total of 16 times so far this year, New Orleans and its opponent have combined for more than 238.5 points.
- Indiana’s games have gone over 238.5 points on 36 occasions this year.
- The Pelicans and their opponents have combined to hit the over 27 out of 60 times this season.
- So far this season, 32 out of the Pacers’ 60 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-205)
- Prediction: Pelicans 121, Pacers 116
- New Orleans has entered the game as favorites 35 times this season and won 22, or 62.9%, of those games.
- Indiana has come away with 16 wins in the 31 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jonas Valančiūnas Points Prop: Over 10.5
- Jonas Valanciunas posts 13.5 points, 9.5 boards and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 56.8% from the field.
- Valanciunas is averaging 13.5 points in the 2023-24 season, 3.0 higher than Friday’s over/under.
- He has gone over 28 times on a points prop this season (in 55 opportunities).
- The Pacers are the best squad in the league in points scored (123.9 per game) but third-worst in points allowed (122.0).
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Pascal Siakam Points Prop: Under 21.5
- The Pacers are getting 22.2 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from Pascal Siakam this season.
- The 21.5-point total set for Siakam on Friday is 0.7 less than his season scoring average.
- Siakam has had 61 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 26 times.
- With 116.0 points per game on offense, the Pelicans are 14th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they give up 111.9 points per contest, which ranks eighth in the league.
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