Week 15 Draft.com NFL DFS Lineup Picks, Promo Code, and Strategy
Week 15 of NFL DFS is already here, and the daily fantasy contests are rocking over at Draft. Every week, we’ll bring you our top daily fantasy NFL picks for each position and break them down into shallow and deep draft picks.
H2H and Three-Team draft choices generally come with less risk and more stable floors, while the best 10-Team plays equal lots of risk and upside. Taking a chance on players with high ceilings and low floors is a good way to separate from the field.
Let’s talk a little more strategy. As with any daily fantasy sport, the advice below is relevant for fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, gameflow, and various other factors. This is important to remember when drafting a roster at all daily fantasy sites.
Best Week 15 NFL DFS DRAFT.com H2H and Three-Team Picks
Tom Brady @ PIT
Russell Wilson vs. LAR
Ben Roethlisberger vs. NE
Aaron Rodgers @ CAR
For the first time in weeks, Tom Brady and the Patriots face an offense capable of matching points in a shootout. And with Joe Haden (leg) out and Ryan Shazier suffering a scary back injury, the Steelers’ defense has collapsed, coughing up an absurd 38 points to the lowly Ravens offense last week. Brady can, and likely will, win a shootout in Pittsburgh this Sunday.
He did it all for the Seahawks once again in a brutal matchup at Jacksonville, and now Russell Wilson will be home against a Rams defense that was exposed by another mobile and elite QB in Carson Wentz. As the best rushing option and the general behind a solid offense, Wilson is clearly worth an early-round pick.
Ben Roethlisberger will be asked to win another shootout with Brady and the defending champion Patriots coming to town on Sunday. New England’s secondary has improved, but the Pats still give up the fourth-most passing YPG (254.9) in the league. Even a corner of Malcolm Butler’s standing stands little chance of containing Antonio Brown.
Finally, Aaron Rodgers should return for the Green Bay Packers this week. He should immediately produce elite numbers even in a tough matchup against the Panthers. The Packers’ offense has improved with Jamaal Williams serving as an excellent three-down back. Jordy Nelson will be the happiest receiver to see Rodgers return.
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Le’Veon Bell vs. BAL
LeSean McCoy vs. MIA
Todd Gurley @ SEA
Alvin Kamara vs. NYJ
While Le’Veon Bell might not be as efficient as usual against the savvy Patriots defense, his unmatched volume gives him arguably the highest floor in all of NFL DFS. Fresh off a three-TD effort against the Ravens’ stingy defense, he can be locked and loaded as a top pick ahead of a potential shootout with the Patriots.
Todd Gurley continued to carry the Rams’ offense in a brutal matchup against the Eagles this past Sunday. He will now face a Seahawks defense that could be without both difference-making LBs in Bobby Wagner (hamstring) and K.J. Wright (concussion). Seattle’s defense fell apart after both those players left the game last Sunday.
The Bills’ offense runs through LeSean McCoy and should continue to with Kelvin Benjamin (knee) questionable to suit up. Tyrod Taylor could return from a knee injury and draw more attention away from the rush, opening things up for Shady to produce at home against a weak Dolphins defense. McCoy’s value is especially sound if the weather turns snowy like it did last Sunday.
Alvin Kamara should be able to clear concussion protocol by Sunday. If he’s active, he’ll be a fantastic pick against a Jets team that will likely play from behind with starting QB Josh McCown (hand) done for the year.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Antonio Brown vs. NE
Michael Thomas vs. NYJ
Jordy Nelson @ CAR
Rob Gronkowski @ PIT
Antonio Brown balled out in yet another tough matchup with 11 catches and 213 yards on a ridiculous 18 targets in last week’s 39-38 win over the Ravens. The Steelers need him to don his superhero cape yet again for this huge tilt against the Pats. Despite facing shadow coverage and double teams, Brown’s gone for 239 yards and a TD over his last two regular season meetings with New England.
Michael Thomas burned the Falcons secondary and elite CB Desmond Trufant for 117 yards and a TD last Thursday. Now, he’ll face a Jets team that ranks 27th in DVOA against the opposition’s top WR. Thomas is clearly the favorite target for Drew Brees, who will likely shred Gang Green at home this week.
Jordy Nelson depended on a seamless rapport with his QB to become one of the best red-zone weapons in the NFL over the past several seasons. Even against the big-bodied Panthers cornerbacks, Nelson is a great bet to get into the end zone this week.
Conveniently returning for a game with huge juice in the national market, Rob Gronkowski could thrive against a Steelers defense that’s reeling without speedy LB Ryan Shazier. Gronk has caught an absurd five TDs over his last three games against the Pats’ AFC rivals.
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Best Week 15 NFL DFS 6- to 10-Team League Picks
Cam Newton vs. GB
Drew Brees vs. NYJ
Jared Goff @ SEA
Nick Foles @ NYG
Cam Newton predictably struggled to complete passes against Minnesota’s elite secondary. Still, he produced with his legs by crossing up a defender en route to a 62-yard run. He draws a much better matchup against the Packers’ struggling secondary this week. His upside rises thanks to return of Aaron Rodgers.
The biggest issue in drafting Drew Brees is a potential blowout win over a Jets team turning to back-up QBs. If Alvin Kamara (concussion) is out this week, however, Brees might be forced to throw more often, and the Jets’ run defense remains solid in the red zone. In those circumstances, Brees might pass for a few scores at home.
Jared Goff continues to run an elite offensive system, and he could get his top WR back this week in Robert Woods (shoulder). The Seahawks’ secondary has struggled since losing Kam Chancellor (neck) and Richard Sherman (Achilles) for the season. As mentioned above, they’ll be even worse off if Bobby Wagner and/or K.J. Wright sit.
With Carson Wentz (knee) done for the year, Nick Foles will take over an elite Eagles offense with which he has some experience. Doug Pederson is an underrated HC, who worked with Foles back in Kansas City and should be able to get the most out of his backup in a plus draw against the listless Giants.
Kenyan Drake @ BUF
Mark Ingram vs. NYJ
Jamaal Williams @ CAR
Christian McCaffrey vs. GB
Kenyan Drake is handling just about every touch out of the backfield for Miami. If it’s snowing in Buffalo again this Sunday, he may see a ridiculous number of touches due to gameflow. After piling up 234 rushing yards in tough matchups against the Broncos and Patriots, he’s a great option against Buffalo’s struggling run defense.
Mark Ingram will clearly be a popular option if Alvin Kamara (concussion) can’t go this week. That said, he’s somewhat risky to draft early against a Jets team that’s only given up nine rushing TDs and a 4.1 YPC clip this season. Still, he has tons of upside as the finishing hammer on an elite offense.
The Browns have a poor reputation but are actually very good against the run. Therefore, Jamaal Williams deserves plenty of credit for another 100-plus yard performance in last week’s matchup. He out-snapped Aaron Jones, 50-8, last Sunday and will serve as a borderline every-down back with more upside now that Aaron Rodgers is expected back under center.
In the same contest, Christian McCaffrey could pile up touches if the Panthers are playing from behind. He only caught three balls against a Vikings defense with elite team speed all over the field. The rookie could find much more success against a Green Bay defense that sells out to stop the run, leaving the edges vulnerable.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Brandin Cooks @ PIT
Adam Thielen vs. CIN
JuJu Smith-Schuster vs. NE
Zach Ertz @ NYG
He played on 68 of 70 offensive snaps in Week 13, and Brandin Cooks failed to produce hardly anything outside of a few pass interference calls on Monday night in Miami. Yet the Patriots’ offense ebbs and flows, while the absence of Joe Haden seriously increases the possibility Cooks will see more targets and catches in what’s become a good matchup for top WRs lately.
Adam Thielen is probably worth an early-round pick in drafts this week. Yet he might get skipped over because he’ll face a Bengals team that’s been tough to throw on all year. After catching six passes on another lofty target total (13), plus having a TD overturned on a suspect review against Carolina’s stout secondary, Thielen is officially matchup-proof.
JuJu Smith-Schuster will return from a one-game absence due to suspension and could thrive due to the Patriots’ notable tendency to sell out against the opposition’s top WR. If someone else takes Antonio Brown early in your draft, you could hedge against AB going off again by taking JuJu later.
He’ll probably get overlooked because of the QB change, but Zach Ertz is talented enough to get open for Nick Foles. Plus, the duo worked together during Foles’ career year in 2013. The Giants have been horrendous against opposing TEs all year, and Ertz is averaging 84.3 receiving YPG over his last four meetings with the G-Men.