The Milwaukee Bucks (35-19) host the Miami Heat (28-25) on February 13, 2024 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are strongly favored, by eight points, in a matchup pitting one of the NBA’s highest-scoring teams versus one of the best defensive teams. The Bucks are second in points scored per game (122.7), while the Heat are fourth in points allowed (110.8). The over/under in the contest is 222.5.
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Bucks vs. Heat Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Bucks | -8 | 222.5 |
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Injury Report as of February 13
Bucks: Khris Middleton: Out (Ankle), Thanasis Antetokounmpo: Questionable (Illness)
Heat: Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Jimmy Butler: Out (Personal), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Terry Rozier: Out (Right Knee), Terry Rozier: Out (Right Knee), Duncan Robinson: Questionable (Elbow, Shoulder)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Heat (+8) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (222.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Bucks vs. Heat Stat Rankings
| Bucks Avg. (Rank) | Heat Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 122.7 (2nd) | Points Scored | 110.4 (27th) |
| 118.9 (23rd) | Points Allowed | 110.8 (4th) |
| 44.1 (10th) | Rebounds | 42.1 (23rd) |
| 9.4 (26th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.7 (25th) |
| 14.3 (5th) | 3pt Made | 12.3 (17th) |
| 26.8 (13th) | Assists | 25.8 (21st) |
| 12.4 (10th) | Turnovers | 12.2 (9th) |
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Bucks Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 52 | 30.8 | 11.4 | 6.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Damian Lillard | 49 | 24.8 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.9 |
| Brook Lopez | 51 | 13.1 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Bobby Portis | 54 | 12.6 | 7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Malik Beasley | 52 | 11.4 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.9 |
Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro | 33 | 21 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 3.3 |
| Bam Adebayo | 43 | 20.3 | 10.5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Duncan Robinson | 48 | 13 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.7 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 47 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Caleb Martin | 36 | 10.3 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
Betting Trends
- The Bucks have 21 wins in 54 games against the spread this season.
- Milwaukee is 5-15 as 8-point favorites or more.
- This season, 29 of the Bucks’ 54 games have gone over the point total.
- Milwaukee’s games have finished with more than 222.5 points 45 times so far this season.
- Bucks games have had an average of 241.6 points this season, 19.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Heat have 24 wins in 53 games against the spread this season.
- Miami has two wins ATS (2-3) as a 8-point underdog or greater this year.
- Out of 53 Heat games so far this year, 21 have gone over the total.
- Miami’s games have had over 222.5 points 22 times this season.
- The over/under for this game is 1.4 points higher than the average scoring total for Heat games (221.1).
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