The Cleveland Cavaliers (35-16) are favored, by 11.5 points, over the Philadelphia 76ers (31-21) on February 12, 2024 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers have won nine in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games, while the 76ers have gone 2-8 in their past 10. The over/under is 231 for the matchup.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Monday’s game.
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Spread: 76ers (+11.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (6.9 points) is significantly less than the 11.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Cavaliers, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the 76ers to cover.
- Philadelphia is 30-22-0 ATS this season.
- The 76ers have been an underdog by 11.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Cleveland’s ATS record is 28-21-2 this season.
- The Cavaliers have not covered the spread this season (0-3 ATS) when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.
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Total: Under 231
- The model projects a total 2.8 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponent have broken the 231-point mark 18 times this season.
- So far this year, 30 Philadelphia’s games have featured more than 231 points scored.
- A total of 22 out of the Cavaliers’ 51 games this season have gone over the point total.
- 76ers games have hit the over 31 out of 52 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Cavaliers (-650)
- Prediction: Cavaliers 118, 76ers 111
- Cleveland has entered the game as favorites 33 times this season and won 27, or 81.8%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has won in three, or 18.8%, of the 16 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Max Strus Points Prop: Under 8.5
- Max Strus puts up 12.3 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- The 12.3 points Strus scores per game are 3.8 more than his over/under on Monday.
- He is 21-for-48 at hitting the over on his points prop this season.
- With 118.5 points scored per game and 113.9 points conceded, the 76ers are ninth in the NBA offensively and 14th on defense.
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Buddy Hield Points Prop: Under 15.5
- Buddy Hield is putting up 12.0 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. He is making 44.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.6 treys per game.
- The 12.0 points Hield scores per game are 3.5 less than his over/under on Monday (15.5).
- Hield has had 40 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 19 times.
- The Cavaliers sport a top-five defense this season, ranking second-best in the league with 109.0 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 16th with 114.9 points scored per contest.
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