DraftKings.com NFL DFS Week 13 Picks and Plays for Cash Game and GPP Lineups
Week 13 of NFL DFS is here, and everyone is looking to play for the big daily fantasy football money at DraftKings. Every week, we’ll bring you our top NFL DFS picks at each position, separating them into Cash and GPP plays. And to keep up with all things PlayPicks, follow us on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
As with any daily fantasy sport, the advice below is relevant for fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, gameflow, and various other factors. This is important to remember when constructing a roster.
Weather will play a key factor in NFL games going forward, so make sure to check the forecast for each Sunday. Wind is our real enemy there.
Best Week 13 NFL DFS Quarterback Plays
Josh McCown vs. KC ($5.5K DraftKings) – Cash
The freefall is in full effect, as the Kansas City Chiefs find themselves on a three-game skid. Meanwhile, in his last two games, Josh McCown has thrown for four touchdowns and 569 yards. Against the Chiefs, who rank 20th in pass DVOA, McCown has upside if this turns into a shootout. More realistically, he carries a nice floor given the plus-matchup and recent performances. McCown should be good for 250 and a score, with upside for multiple touchdowns depending on gameflow.
Mitch Trubisky vs. SF ($4.5K) – GPP
There isn’t much, statistically, to back up this play, but the narrative is there. The Bears are not a good football team, even though they boast a respectable backfield and solid defense. And John Fox certainly has something to play for, as the Bears have shown few signs of life this season, and they’ve yet to unleash their rookie quarterback. This week, the San Francisco 49ers are unveiling their new toy in Jimmy Garoppolo. It seems only appropriate the Bears truly roll out Mitch Trubisky, who faces a 49ers defense ranking 30th in pass DVOA. He’s GPP only though, as his floor is far too low, even at that salary.
Trevor Siemian @ MIA ($4.8K DraftKings) – GPP
It’s hard to feel good about this Broncos offense, but Trevor Siemian has proven himself capable in the past, and the Miami Dolphins rank 31st in pass DVOA. In a pick-em matchup on the road, Siemian has a ton to play for, as the John Elway-led Broncos are desperately in search of stability at QB. While there’s risk that this turns to a quick game with a lot of running, Siemian has the matchup to excel, just like he did at the start of the season, when he strung together two 20+ DK point games in his first two starts.
Blake Bortles vs. IND ($5.4K DraftKings) – Cash/GPP
I can’t believe I’m recommending Blake Bortles in Cash, but I think we’ve come to this. The Jags’ quarterback is coming off a 23.60 DK-point performance against the Arizona Cardinals, who rank 15th in pass DVOA. The Colts rank 27th in pass DVOA. Regardless of his lack of weapons, Bortles has chugged along, finding ways to get the ball to his tight ends and developing a decent rapport with Marqise Lee. The Colts are a bad team, giving Bortles a solid floor. He has upside if the Jaguars can’t get their running game going (like last week, when Bortles was the leading rusher with 62 yards and two touchdowns).
Secondary options: Marcus Mariota, Tyrod Taylor, Brett Hundley, Jared Goff
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Best Week 13 NFL DFS Running Back Plays
Jerick McKinnon @ ATL ($5.1K DraftKings) – GPP
Latavius Murray has outshined Jerick McKinnon as of late, with four touchdowns in the past three weeks. This week, however, the Vikings are road dogs against a true contender in the Atlanta Falcons. This matchup screams shootout potential, which should mean more McKinnon than Murray. If the Vikings fall behind and are forced to keep up with Julio Jones and company, McKinnon’s pass-catching services will be required.
Jamaal Williams vs. TB ($4.7K DraftKings) – GPP/Cash
The Bucs rank 14th in rush DVOA but 27th in overall DVOA. Brett Hundley looked competent in Week 12 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, but Jamaal Williams looked even better. He logged 66 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown, plus 69 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown. It’s clear, with at least 21 touches in each of the past three games, that Williams is the Packers’ workhorse back now. Frankly, he’s a steal at this price. The decent matchup, heavy usage, and recent performance make him a very obvious Cash play, but I do believe it won’t be hard to get leverage on the field in GPPs with 30-40 percent exposure.
Danny Woodhead vs. DET ($4.4K DraftKings) – GPP
For me, this is a no-brainer. Danny Woodhead is exactly the kind of running back with whom Joe Flacco has always thrived (relative term), though it does seem like we’re a decade removed from the Flacco-Rice connection. In very limited playing time together (less than two games), Woodhead and Flacco have already flashed their rapport, having connected on eight of nine passes this season. When Woodhead is healthy, he can kill you if you decide to fade him, as he can contribute in a lot of ways. While the Detroit Lions are third in DVOA against pass-catching backs, Woodhead is an exceptional receiving back. At just $4.4K in what should be a competitive home game (in which the Ravens are favored to win), Woodhead is in a prime spot to crush his very low salary.
Todd Gurley @ ARI ($8.2K DraftKings) – GPP
With so much good value on the board this week, it’s hard for me to recommend Todd Gurley in Cash, where his $8.2K salary can totally sink you if he busts. But the Rams’ lead back absolutely killed the Arizona Cardinals in their first meeting this year, dropping 28.4 DraftKings points in that game, his third-highest score on the season. Gurley boasts tremendous upside, and with the Cards allowing two rushing touchdowns in each of the last two weeks, he could find his way into the end zone. Fire away in GPPs if you’re looking for slate-changing upside.
Secondary options: Rex Burkhead, Melvin Gordon, Marshawn Lynch, Kareem Hunt, Leonard Fournette
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Best Week 13 NFL DFS Wide Receiver Plays
Jermaine Kearse vs. KC ($4.3K DraftKings) – GPP/Cash
Jermaine Kearse has seen 19 targets in the past two weeks, as Josh McCown has really turned it on and turned up the volume for his often-overlooked wideout. Kearse translated that extra attention into 34 DK points over the last two games. While there is always risk with a Jets offense, the former Seahawks wideout has led the Jets in targets the past three weeks. The floor is there, and with double-digit target upside at just $4.3K, he’s a huge salary relief option for both Cash and GPP.
Corey Davis vs. HOU ($5.1K DraftKings) – GPP
Corey Davis fell short last week, managing just 7.9 DK points against the Colts. However, the Texans are far worse against wideouts, especially WR2, against whom they rank 31st in DVOA. We really don’t know Davis’ true ceiling because he hasn’t really tested it much as of yet. But the Titans are home favorites against the rival Texans, and Tennessee is tied for first in the AFC South with the Jaguars. The Titans really needs to win this game, and their defense is susceptible at times, meaning I don’t see the Texans going quietly. Look for Davis to see around six or seven targets instead of the four he saw last week. That could be enough for him to finally break one or two off.
DeSean Jackson @ GB ($4.7K DraftKings) – Cash
With Jameis Winston expected to return this week, the Bucs offense should get a jolt. That’s certainly good news for Mike Evans, but Jackson, who has three straight weeks of 10+ DK points, also figures to benefit from Winston’s return. While Jackson hasn’t flexed any upside this season, he has been consistent, having scored double-digit DK points in seven of 11 games, but never breaking 18.6 points. That limits his appeal in GPPs, but he’s a very strong Cash play as he should hit value.
Cordarrelle Patterson vs. NYG ($3.4K DraftKings) – GPP
With Michael Crabtree earning a suspension for his antics last week and Amari Cooper carrying a questionable designation, Cordarrelle Patterson is primed to take over as the lead playmaker in this receiving corp. He’s always had big-play upside, just never really an ideal quarterback situation. Now, he has a gunslinger in Derek Carr, and he should see plenty of looks thanks to the depleted receiving options. He scored 8.5 and 10.2 DK points in the last two weeks, which suggests he has a decent floor this week as his usage should increase. His big-play ability also gives you the upside you want in a matchup against a Giants team that is full-on scorched earth at this point, benching Eli Manning and phoning it in.
Secondary options: Mike Evans, Emmanuel Sanders, Keenan Allen, Davante Adams, Brandin Cooks
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Best Week 13 NFL DFS Tight End Plays
Cameron Brate @ GB ($2.9K DraftKings) – GPP
Talk about a tale of tow halves. After dropping a dud in the season opener, Cameron Brate strung together a six-game streak of double-digit DK points. Then, Jameis Winston started dealing with injury, and Brate hasn’t topped 2.2 DK points in any of the last four games. But Winston returns this week, and Brate is severely underpriced against an exploitable Green Bay Packers defense that struggled against the Steelers’ tight ends last week.
Jared Cook vs. NYG ($5.4K DraftKings) – Cash
The Raiders are very short on options this week, and DraftKings has Jared Cook priced right about where he should be. At a significantly higher salary than most other tight ends of his ability, Cook has definite upside given his high floor and potential to see even more targets with Crabtree and (maybe) Cooper out. If both the Raiders’ top wideouts sit, Cook should absolutely be on your GPP radar as well. But given I’ll be so heavy on Brate in GPP, I’ll stick with Cook mostly in Cash.
Secondary Options: Austin Hooper, Travis Kelce, Delanie Walker, Eric Ebron, C.J. Fiedorowicz
Best Week 13 NFL DFS Defense Plays
Los Angeles Chargers D/ST vs. CLE ($4.0K DraftKings) – Cash/GPP
The best Cash option on the slate, the Chargers D/ST are expensive at $4.0K, but they get a bad Cleveland offense at home. Look, I love Josh Gordon, and you’re damn right I’ll burn a GPP lineup with him in it. But the Chargers are not the team to target, ranking seventh in passing DVOA. And Cleveland has an implied total under 15. There just isn’t much offensive potential for Cleveland, and the Chargers’ defense should take advantage of Cleveland’s tendency to turn the ball over (a league-worst 28 times).
Denver Broncos D/ST @ MIA ($3.0K DraftKings) – GPP
The Broncos D/ST hasn’t broken double-digit DK-points since Week 2, but they have a nice visit scheduled in Miami this week. The Dolphins are 4-7, but they’ve lost five straight. If they weren’t consciously tanking before, they’re very clearly in range of tank-mode. Maybe they come out guns blazing, or maybe they phone it in this week. Either way, Von Miller and company will be able to shut down the unimpressive Miami backfield. Their secondary, short Aqib Talib, should still be able to handle a sporadically wild quarterback in Jay Cutler.
Secondary Options: Miami D/ST, Jacksonville D/ST, Chicago D/ST, Tennessee D/ST