The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) and the Atlanta Falcons (3-3) square off on Sunday, October 22, 2023 at Raymond James Stadium in a battle of NFC South opponents, and here are best bets recommendations.
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Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.1 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Tampa Bay is 3-2-0 ATS this season.
- The Buccaneers are yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 2.5-point favorite or greater this season.
- Tampa Bay is 1-2 against the spread over its last three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those matchups.
- Atlanta is 1-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
- Atlanta is winless against the spread (0-3) and 1-2 overall in its past three matchups.
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Total: Under 37
- DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.9 points of each other.
- Atlanta has played in three games this season where they and their opponents combined to score more than 37 points.
- Games featuring the Buccaneers have hit the over just once this season.
- Games featuring the Falcons have gone over the point total just once this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Buccaneers (-155)
- Prediction:
Tampa Bay 19 – Atlanta 17 - Tampa Bay has been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won.
- Atlanta has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
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Buccaneers and Falcons Splits
| Buccaneers | Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| At Home | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| On the Road | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| In Conference | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| In Division | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| One Possession Games | 1-0 | 2-1 |
| Indoor | 2-0 | 3-3 |
| Outdoor | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Want more information about this game? Take a look at the full preview here!
Desmond Ridder Passing TDs: Under 1.50 (-245)
- 2023 Season: 1,380 PASS YDS / 230.0 YPG / 64% / 6 TD / 6 INT
- In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 1,265 PASS YDS / 253.0 YPG / 62.2% / 5 TD / 6 INT
- In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 827 PASS YDS / 275.7 YPG / 65.2% / 4 TD / 5 INT
- Ridder has thrown for a touchdown five times this year in six games played, including multiple passing TD once.
See all of Ridder’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Rachaad White Rushing Yards: Under 46.50 (-115)
- 2023 Season: 70 CAR / 232 YDS / 46.4 YPG / 1 TD
- In Buccaneers’ Last 5 Games: 70 CAR / 232 YDS / 46.4 YPG / 1 TD
- In Buccaneers’ Last 3 Games: 70 CAR / 232 YDS / 46.4 YPG / 1 TD
- White gains 46.4 rushing yards per game this season, which falls shy of Sunday’s prop total of 46.5 yards.
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Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards: Under 25.50 (-120)
- 2023 Season: 26 REC / 189 YDS / 31.5 YPG / 2 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 5 Games: 20 REC / 162 YDS / 32.4 YPG / 1 TD
- In Falcons’ Last 3 Games: 12 REC / 87 YDS / 29.0 YPG / 1 TD
- Robinson’s 31.5 receiving yards per game average are 6.0 more than his prop bet over/under in Sunday’s outing (25.5).
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