Raiders Vs Dolphins: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 3

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 26, 2021

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-0) and Miami Dolphins (1-1) will face each other in Week 3. The Dolphins, +155 on the moneyline to win, and the Raiders, listed at -3.5 on the spread, kick things off on September 26, 2021 at 4:05 PM ET on CBS. A total of 45 points has been set for the game by sportsbooks.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 26, 2021, 5:49 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Raiders Vs Dolphins Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Raiders vs Dolphins
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Raiders (-3.5) Under (45)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings (2020)

Raiders Dolphins
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 27.1 (10) 25.3 (15)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 29.9 (30) 21.1 (6)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.9 (8) 5.3 (21)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 6.0 (26) 5.9 (23)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 26 (27) 20 (16)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 15 (30) 29 (1)

Raiders Betting Insights

  • Against the spread, Las Vegas was 8-8-0 last year.
  • The Raiders were winless ATS (0-3) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites last season.
  • There were 13 Las Vegas games (out of 16) that went over the total last year.
  • In 15 games last season, Las Vegas and its opponent combined to score more than 45 points.
  • The point total average for Raiders games last season was 50.8, 5.8 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

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Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Miami had 11 wins in 16 games against the spread last season.
  • The Dolphins had an ATS record of 5-2 as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater last year.
  • In 16 Miami games last season, seven of them went over the total.
  • Miami’s games went over 45 points on nine occasions last year.
  • The average total for Dolphins games last season was 46.7 points, 1.7 more than this game’s over/under.

Raiders Players to Watch

  • Derek Carr put up a passing stat line last season of 4,103 yards with a 67.3% completion rate (348-for-517), 27 touchdowns, nine interceptions, and an average of 256.4 yards per game.
  • Josh Jacobs churned out 1,065 rushing yards (66.6 per game) and 12 touchdowns last year.
  • Kenyan Drake ran for 955 yards on 239 carries (59.7 yards per game), with 10 rushing touchdowns last year.
  • Darren Waller amassed 107 receptions for 1,196 yards and nine touchdowns last season. He was targeted 145 times, and averaged 74.8 yards per game.
  • Hunter Renfrow also impressed receiving last season. He bagged 56 receptions for 656 yards and two touchdowns. He was targeted 77 times.
  • Henry Ruggs III grabbed 26 passes on 43 targets for 452 yards and two touchdowns, compiling 28.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Yannick Ngakoue’s hard work last season produced a stat line of 8.0 sacks, 11.0 TFL and 23 tackles.
  • Last season K.J. Wright averaged 112 tackles, 12.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and one interception.
  • Last season Trayvon Mullen had a huge stat line of two interceptions, 72 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 14 passes defended.

Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Myles Gaskin tallied 584 rushing yards and three touchdowns on the ground in addition to 388 receiving yards and two touchdowns through the air during last year’s campaign.
  • Malcolm Brown ran for five touchdowns on 419 yards a year ago.
  • Will Fuller V was targeted 6.8 times per game and collected 879 receiving yards and eight touchdowns over the course of 2020.
  • DeVante Parker averaged 49.6 receiving yards on 7.4 targets per game in 2020, scoring four touchdowns.
  • Mike Gesicki played his way to six receiving touchdowns and 703 receiving yards (43.9 ypg) last season.
  • Last year Emmanuel Ogbah put pressure on opposing quarterbacks with 9.0 sacks, and added 10.5 TFL and 59 tackles.
  • Jerome Baker was a force on the field last season with 154 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 7.0 sacks.
  • A year ago Xavien Howard collected 62 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 20 passes defended as well as 10 interceptions.

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