The Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2) visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (2-2-1) on Saturday, October 21, with the Maple Leafs coming off a loss and the Lightning a win. The bookmakers have made the Maple Leafs solid favorites at -137 on the moneyline, despite being the visitors, and the Lightning are at +113.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of October 21, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. See below the latest odds for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Odds
- Moneyline: TOR: (-137) | TB: (+113)
- Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (172) | TB: +1.5 (-213)
- Total: 7 — Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)
Injury Report as of October 21
Maple Leafs: Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), Conor Timmins: Lower Body (Out), Tyler Bertuzzi: Undisclosed (Probable)
Lightning: Tyler Motte: Hand (Out), Andrei Vasilevskiy: Back (Out), Jack Finley: Undisclosed (Out), Roman Schmidt: Undisclosed (Out), Brent Seabrook: Shoulder/Back/Hip (Out), Logan Brown: Undisclosed (Out)
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Predictions & Computer Picks
| Moneyline Pick | Lightning |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (7) |
| Spread Pick | Lightning (+1.5) |
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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Team Stats (2022-23)
| Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) | Lightning Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.39 (9th) | Goals Scored | 3.41 (8th) |
| 2.68 (7th) | Goals Allowed | 3.07 (14th) |
| 32.0 (12th) | Shots | 32.0 (12th) |
| 29.5 (7th) | Shots Allowed | 31.5 (20th) |
Maple Leafs Key Players (Stats from 2022-23)
| Name | GP | GOALS | ASST | PTS | SHOTS | PP GOALS | PLUS/MINUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Marner | 80 | 30 | 69 | 99 | 196 | 9 | +18 |
| William Nylander | 82 | 40 | 47 | 87 | 293 | 9 | +10 |
| Auston Matthews | 74 | 40 | 45 | 85 | 327 | 13 | +31 |
| John Tavares | 80 | 36 | 44 | 80 | 277 | 18 | -7 |
| Max Domi | 80 | 20 | 36 | 56 | 179 | 8 | -15 |
How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Lightning
Lightning Key Players
| Name | GP | GOALS | ASST | PTS | SHOTS | PP GOALS | PLUS/MINUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 1 | -2 |
| Steven Stamkos | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| Victor Hedman | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| Nicholas Paul | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 | -4 |
Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs put together a 42-33 record when listed as a moneyline favorite last season.
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs’ implied win probability is 57.8%.
- The Lightning were an underdog in 21 games last season, and won eight (38.1%).
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 46.9% chance of victory for the Lightning.
- Toronto and its opponent went over 7 combined goals in 43 of 93 games last season.
- Tampa Bay played 46 games last season with over 7 goals.
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