Mac Jones: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 7 Patriots Vs Bills – October 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 19, 2023

Mac Jones and the New England Patriots will face the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season.

Mac Jones Player Props vs the Bills

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
179.5 -130 0.5 -195 4.5 -105 +1200
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
179.5 -130 4.5 -105 0.5 -195

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 2 3
Games w/ 1+ TDs 3 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 0

Mac Jones’ Passing Trends

  • Jones has 1,208 passing yards (201.3 ypg) to lead New England, completing 64.2% of his throws and tossing five touchdown passes with seven interceptions this season.
  • Jones averages 6.0 yards per attempt this season, which ranks 29th in the NFL.
  • Jones’ five passing touchdowns and 1,208 yards rank 24th and 20th, respectively, in league play.

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Jones’ Rushing Trends

  • Jones has also helped out on the ground, with 59 rushing yards (9.8 ypg) on 16 carries.
  • He averages 3.7 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Jones (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Bills (2023) Prediction
179.5+ Passing Yards 66.7% 76.2% 66.7% 67.9%
1+ Passing TDs 50% 77.2% 66.7% 57.6%
2+ Passing TDs 16.7% 36% 0% 14.9%
4.5+ Rushing Yards 66.7% 99.7% 88.9% 76.4%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 32.5% 22.2% 9.6%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 8.4% 22.2% 6.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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