DraftKings Week 11 NFL DFS Picks & Plays for Cash & GPP Lineups

Written By Nate Lawson on November 15, 2017 - Last Updated on November 19, 2017
DFS NFL

DraftKings.com NFL DFS Week 11 Picks and Plays for Cash Game and GPP Lineups

Week 11 of NFL DFS is upon us, and everyone is looking to cash in on the big daily fantasy football money at DraftKings. Every week, we’ll bring you our top NFL DFS picks at each position, separating them into Cash and GPP plays. And to keep up with all things PlayPicksfollow us on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

As with any daily fantasy sport, the advice below is relevant for fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, gameflow, and various other factors. This is important to remember when constructing a roster.

Weather will play a key factor in NFL games going forward, so make sure to check the forecast for each Sunday.

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Best Week 11 NFL DFS Quarterback Plays

Alex Smith @ NYG ($6.7K) – Cash
In past years, Alex Smith was nowhere to be found on these lists. Now, he’s having the kind of year for which the 49ers drafted him years ago. This week, Smith and the Chiefs head to New York to take on a Giants team that has been dead in the water for some time now. Their 10-point loss to the 49ers last week was a very appropriate nail in the coffin, as the Giants allowed 31 points to that disastrous offense. The Chiefs are coming off a bye week after losing to the Cowboys the previous week. With Kareem Hunt’s effectiveness waning at an alarming rate, Smith needs to step up. Fortunately, the Giants rank 29th in pass DVOA, and Smith hasn’t scored less than 14 points in a single week. He’s safe, with reasonable upside, and is a great option for your Cash lineup.

Carson Wentz vs. DAL ($7.2K DraftKings) – GPP/CASH
Carson Wentz has been an absolute revelation this year, and there’s no reason to think his hype train slows this week against a Dallas defense that was dominated by the Falcons last week. Wentz has been playing better than Matt Ryan, scoring more than 22 DraftKings points in four out of the past five weeks. Furthermore, the Eagles carry an implied total of 25.75, meaning there are plenty of points to go around. Fire away on Wentz, especially in GPP, as he has immense upside and arguably the highest floor among quarterbacks.

Blake Bortles @ CLE ($5.2K) – GPP
Blake Bortles has, somewhat quietly, strung together a few workable games, putting up DK scores of 14.5, 20.3, 16.4, and 18.3 the last four weeks. However, his price is still a measly $5.2K, which more mirrors the sentiment around Bortles. Look, he’s absolutely a risk because he’s Blake Bortles, but he’s looked competent as of late and gets a Cleveland Browns defense ranking 27th in pass DVOA. In their last two games, Cleveland has allowed five passing touchdowns combined (against Matthew Stafford and Case Keenum). Bortles is definitely worse than one of those quarterbacks, but a multiple touchdown game from the Jaguars quarterback not only seems possible but also plausible. The Browns are terrible against the pass but decent against the run, and everything adds up to a breakout week for Bortles.

Ryan Fitzpatrick @ MIA ($5.3K DraftKings) – GPP/Cash
We’re going back to the well with Ryan Fitzpatrick only one week after he laid an egg against the Jets. That said, his salary was so low that the mere 11.38 points he mustered wouldn’t have necessarily sunk your Cash lineup. Tempered expectations depressed what could have been an otherwise drastic increase in salary. At just $5.3K ($100 more than Bortles), Fitzpatrick is a steal, facing a Miami Dolphins defense that allowed 112 points in its last three outings. Further, the Dolphins rank 30th in pass DVOA, and Mike Evans returns for the Bucs after a one-game suspension. There’s just too much going Fitzpatrick’s way.

Secondary Options: Derek Carr, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Russell Wilson, Case Keenum

Best Week 11 NFL DFS Running Back Plays

Tevin Coleman @ SEA ($6.1K DraftKings) – Cash – ALT slate
Tevin Coleman took over for a concussed Devonte Freeman last week and looked pretty good doing it, racking up 15.8 DraftKings points. This week, Freeman will remain out, and Coleman gets a tough, albeit battered, Seattle defense. While Pete Carroll’s defense does limit upside here, sheer volume makes Coleman an obvious Cash play. I’ll likely fade in tournaments due to the overwhelming ownership and limited upside based on matchup, but Seattle’s defense hasn’t been extremely dominant against the run, ranking 10th in DVOA. Assuming Coleman sees more than one target this week, he’s an excellent high-floor play in Cash.

Rex Burkhead @ OAK ($3.6K DraftKings) – GPP
While Coleman has opportunity on his side, but a bad matchup, Rex Burkhead is in the opposite scenario. There are just so many competent backs in New England. However, in the Patriots’ last two games, Burkhead saw 10 targets and scored more than 15 DK points each week. That target tally is greater than even James White’s, and the shift to Burkhead seems to be a thing in Foxborough. Across the line of scrimmage, Oakland ranks 28th in DVOA vs. RBs in the passing game, and Burkhead is just a few weeks removed from a seven-catch outing. Burkhead is in prime position to crush value on that low salary.

Isaiah Crowell vs. JAX ($4.1K DraftKings) – GPP
While I like Jacksonville D/ST this week, Isaiah Crowell is a fairly interesting contrarian play in GPPs because, well, no one wants a piece of this offense. However, Crowell has scored 20.8 and 16.5 DraftKings points in the last two weeks on tremendous efficiency (27 carries, 154 yards, and two touchdowns). While Jacksonville’s defense is arguably the best in the game, it has truly struggled against the run, ranking third-to-last in RB DVOA. This play is very risky due to the sheer blowout potential, but let’s remember Blake Bortles’ potential for disaster (I know, I know – I do like Bortles this week, but there’s always a chance at total implosion). No matter the gameflow, I do expect Crowell to get enough looks to come very close to value, even in a blowout.

Lamar Miller vs. ARI ($5.0K DraftKings) – Cash
I very much struggle to ever get behind playing Lamar Miller. Of course, when he finds himself in a high-powered option, his dynamic quarterback who opened up the run for him goes down with a season-ending injury. And it showed last time out, when Miller had just his second single-digit DK-point performance on the season. This week, the Texans’ back is up against a defense that let Todd Gurley rack up 150+ yards from scrimmage and a score last month. Sure, that’s Todd Gurley, and Lamar Miller is not at that level. But the Texans need Miller, and he comes at a discount on DraftKings (I have very little interest on FanDuel). While he struggled last week against the LA Rams, that was mostly just because it was a total blowout from the jump. This week, the Texans are +1 at home in a game that should feature much more Miller.

Secondary Options: Kareem Hunt, LeSean McCoy, Melvin Gordon, Alex Collins, Latavius Murray

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Best Week 11 NFL DFS Wide Receiver Plays

Bruce Ellington vs. ARI ($3.0K DraftKings) – GPP/Cash
I’ll keep this quick: Bruce Ellington has eight targets in each of the past two games. He’s turned those opportunities into just 19.3 DK points, but at just $3.0K, he’s very hard to pass on. Look, he’ll get his opportunities, and if you can find me a guy who has a realistic shot at hitting a cost/target rate of $400 per, I’m listening. Fire away on Ellington for the volume if you are in need of cap relief to fit in some studs. And even if not, Ellington should find his way onto your tournament lineups in some capacity.

Amari Cooper vs. NE ($6.0K DraftKings) – GPP
If the Pats decide Amari Cooper is the player they want to focus on in this game, this play may go straight to hell. But honestly, I don’t think that secondary has the personnel to contain both Michael Crabtree and Cooper. I’m on Cooper for the sheer upside he brings. We’re just four games removed from his 47-point outing against the Kansas City Chiefs, who, like the Pats, are Super Bowl contenders with absolutely no real ability to stop elite wideouts. New England ranks 30th in pass DVOA, setting up Cooper for the potential to hit a massive point total, especially if the gameflow goes the way we’d expect.

Mike Evans @ MIA ($7.9K DraftKings) – GPP/Cash
I’m looking to roster Mike Evans mostly in GPP since Ryan Fitzpatrick is such a downgrade from Jameis Winston. But did you see what Devin Funchess did to this Miami defense last Monday? The Panthers’ last legitimate wide receiver scored two touchdowns on five catches, while tacking on 92 yards. Perhaps Evans’ only real similarity with Funchess is that they play in the same division; the former is leaps and bounds better. Against a Miami defense ranked 26th in WR1 DVOA, Evans has the tools and the matchup to go absolutely mad this week. And his price is such that I feel his upside is not being valued properly, especially on a main slate missing Antonio Brown.

Tyreek Hill @ NYG ($7.1K DraftKings) – GPP
Tyreek Hill has been relatively dormant the past two weeks, tallying 102 yards on four catches and throwing in a score for good measure. Yes, that’s dormant when considering what the Chiefs’ clear-cut WR1 is capable of. This week, he gets a broken Giants team. There’s no better example of this than Janoris Jenkins, the star cornerback who wants to be doing just about anything besides putting on a Giants jersey right now. He and the Giants defense allowed two passing touchdowns last week against the lowly San Francisco 49ers. This is the right matchup for Hill, who I expect to put on the burners this week.

Secondary Options: DeAndre Hopkins, Dontrelle Inman, Julio Jones, Michael Crabtree, Mike Wallace, Kenny Stills

Best Week 11 NFL DFS Tight End Plays

Tyler Kroft @ DEN ($2.9K DraftKings) – GPP
Tyler Kroft laid a dud last week against the Tennessee Titans, but he gets a great matchup against a stout Denver defense this week. Now, Denver has been very good against elite wideouts and running backs, ranking first in RB DVOA and third in WR1 DVOA. However, they struggle against almost every other position, none more than tight end (25th in TE DVOA). Kroft has shown flashes of potential, and with Tyler Eifert out for the year, it would behoove this Bengals team to get Kroft going.

Rob Gronkowski @ OAK ($7.2K DraftKings) – GPP/Cash
Even with Martellus Bennett in town, Rob Gronkowski is the clear-cut top option on this New England Patriots team. Though he’s managed to top 20 DK points just three times this season, he is overdue for a monster game. Enter the Oakland Raiders defense, ranking 28th in DVOA vs. TE. Gronk demands a monster salary, but he’s got monster upside. This week looks like the time to get back on the Gronk train as we should have a high-scoring game on our hands in Oakland. After all, the Raiders and their opponents have combined for at least 48 points in each of the last three weeks, including a game where Oakland scored just 14 points.

Secondary Options: Austin Hooper, Coby Fleener, Travis Kelce, Lance Kendricks, Marcedes Lewis

Best Week 11 NFL DFS Defense Plays

Green Bay Packers vs. BAL ($2.7K DraftKings) – Cash/GPP
I love picking on Baltimore, and this week is no different. This game carries an over/under of just 38, and the Packers are a measly $2.7K, meaning the Ravens can score as long as Green Bay is seeing some production defensively. While the Packers D/ST hasn’t managed more than six DraftKings points in the past few weeks, they have looked good in real life against bad offenses. I’m wary of firing away in Cash, but the low salary makes this play viable there. I do love this option in tournaments though, where there is a good amount of upside against a team that can implode offensively at almost any moment.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ CLE ($4.0K DraftKings) – Cash/GPP
Sure, I listed Crowell as a top play above; however, this has to be as close as a lock for a defensive touchdown as any game on this slate. No one has turned the ball over more than the Cleveland Browns, as they’ve tallied 23 total turnovers, including 18 interceptions. The Jags defense is probably the best in the NFL, and the secondary certainly is. Even at $4.0K, the Jags should find a way to return value, with definitive upside for more.

Secondary Options: Chicago Bears, Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos

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Nate Lawson Avatar
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Nate Lawson

Nate began playing DFS back in 2013, focusing on low stakes MLB contests over at DraftKings. Now, the vast majority of his DFS time is spent identifying optimal picks and player exposure for NBA and NFL GPPs, though MMA and eSports are his DFS guilty pleasures. With a focus on constant iteration, Nate spends a lot of his non-DFS time reading books and essays by leaders in finance and entrepreneurship for application to his DFS strategies...with a bit of cryptocurrency trading on the side.

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