Mariners Vs Royals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2021

A pair of baseball’s top power hitters go head-to-head when the Seattle Mariners (79-69) and Kansas City Royals (67-81) play at Kauffman Stadium, at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday. Kyle Seager has 34 home runs (eighth in league) for the Mariners, and Salvador Perez ranks second with 45 dingers for the Royals. Logan Gilbert pitches for Seattle (-125 to win) while Kansas City (+105) will answer with Jackson Kowar.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 19, 2021, 2:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Mariners vs Royals Betting Lines

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have won 21, or 52.5%, of the 40 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Seattle has entered 26 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 14-12 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 53.2%.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Mariners and their opponents are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 13
ERA 5.00
K/9 9.6

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Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 101 games this year and have walked away with the win 43 times (42.6%) in those games.
  • Kansas City has a mark of 35-47 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 46.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • When it comes to the total, the Royals and their foes are 5-4-1 in their previous 10 contests.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 14
ERA 4.90
K/9 6.6

Royals Probable Pitcher – Jackson Kowar

  • Kowar gets the start for the Royals, his sixth of the season. He is 0-3 with an 11.50 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 18 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Athletics, when he went one inning, allowing five earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • In six games this season, the 24-year-old has put up an 11.50 ERA and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .333 to his opponents.
  • Kowar enters the matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • The Royals have a 1-2 record in Kowar’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 2:08 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mariners Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 79-69
Home 42-33
Road 37-36
vs LHP (Starters) 31-26
vs RHP (Starters) 48-43
Day Games 16-11
Night Games 63-58

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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert

  • Gilbert (5-5) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his 22nd start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Red Sox.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.97, a 5.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.200 in 21 games this season.
  • In 21 starts, Gilbert has pitched through or past the fifth inning 12 times. He has a season average of 4.1 frames per outing.
  • His team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-3).
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 2:08 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Royals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 67-81
Home 36-38
Road 31-43
vs LHP (Starters) 26-22
vs RHP (Starters) 41-58
Day Games 5-6
Night Games 62-75

Mariners Hitting Stats

  • The Mariners rank 14th in MLB play with 183 total home runs.
  • The Mariners are 42-20 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Seattle has 13 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Ty France leads Seattle with a batting average of .291. He’s also hit 16 home runs with 62 RBI.
  • Mitch Haniger is batting .250 with an OBP of .313 and a slugging percentage of .467 this season.

Royals Hitting Stats

  • The Royals have hit just 155 homers this season, which ranks 26th in the league.
  • They have won 29 of the 43 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Kansas City has 14 homers over its last 10 games.
  • Whit Merrifield is batting .278 with 36 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Perez has hit 45 home runs with 113 RBI. Both are team-highs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Mariners (-125)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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