Brewers Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2021

Manny Pina leads the Milwaukee Brewers (91-57) into a matchup with the Chicago Cubs (66-83) a game after homering twice in a 6-4 victory over the Cubs. It begins at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday. Eric Lauer starts for Milwaukee (-235 to win), and Keegan Thompson is Chicago’s (+190) choice to start.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 19, 2021, 2:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have won 73 out of the 117 games, or 62.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Milwaukee has entered 16 games this season favored by -235 or more and is 14-2 in those contests.
  • The Brewers have a 67% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 15
ERA 2.60
K/9 11.3

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been victorous in 29, or 33.7%, of the 86 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Chicago has a win-loss record of 5-5 when favored by +190 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 33% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to clear the total six times.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 17
ERA 6.88
K/9 7.5

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Keegan Thompson

  • The Cubs are sending Thompson (3-3) to make his fifth start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 48 strikeouts through 48 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Friday, Sept. 3 against the Pirates, when the righty went 1 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.54, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 30 games this season. Opponents have a .237 batting average against him.
  • The Cubs were the underdog on the moneyline for two Thompson starts this season — they split the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 2:06 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 91-57
Home 42-31
Road 49-26
vs LHP (Starters) 19-13
vs RHP (Starters) 72-39
Day Games 27-15
Night Games 64-42

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Eric Lauer

  • The Brewers’ Lauer (6-5) will make his 18th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, Sept. 12, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Indians, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 2.92, a 3.0 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.130.
  • In 17 starts, Lauer has pitched through or past the fifth inning 13 times. He has a season average of 4.1 frames per outing.
  • His team has been victorious in 61.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-5.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 2:06 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 66-83
Home 39-36
Road 27-47
vs LHP (Starters) 19-22
vs RHP (Starters) 43-59
Day Games 5-7
Night Games 61-76

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers are 17th in MLB play with 180 total home runs.
  • The Brewers are 43-8 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • Milwaukee has racked up 15 home runs during the last 10 games.
  • Avisail Garcia is batting .269 this season with a team-high 27 home runs and 82 RBI.
  • Kolten Wong has 112 hits and an OBP of .337 to go with a slugging percentage of .455 this season.

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs have hit 198 homers this season, which ranks ninth in the league.
  • They’ve hit 92 homers, an average of 1.2 per game, in 74 road contests this season.
  • Chicago has 17 homers over its last 10 games.
  • The Cubs are batting .262 with eight homers and 22 runs scored during their four-game losing streak.
  • Ian Happ has a team-high 56 runs batted in.
  • Frank Schwindel is batting .150 with a double and a home run.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+190)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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