Cardinals Vs Padres: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2021

Trent Grisham is only two hits away from his 100th of the campaign as his San Diego Padres (76-72) face the St. Louis Cardinals (78-69) on Sunday at 2:15 PM ET. St. Louis’ (-115 to win) J.A. Happ and San Diego’s (-105) Jake Arrieta will take the mound first.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 19, 2021, 2:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Cardinals vs Padres Betting Lines

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have won 47, or 61.8%, of the 76 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • St. Louis has a record of 41-24, a 63.1% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cardinals have a 51.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 17
ERA 2.35
K/9 6.0

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Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (27.3%) in those games.
  • This season, San Diego has come away with a win nine times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 48.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Padres and their opponents are 7-3 when it comes to hitting the over.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 3
ERA 6.07
K/9 9.1

Padres Probable Pitcher – Jake Arrieta

  • Arrieta gets the start for the Padres, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with an 8.25 ERA and nine strikeouts in 12 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Giants, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 35-year-old has an 8.25 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings across three games this season, while giving up a batting average of .319 to his opponents.
  • Arrieta enters the matchup with one outing of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • The Padres were named the moneyline underdog for two Arrieta starts this season — they lost both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 2:05 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 78-69
Home 41-33
Road 37-36
vs LHP (Starters) 21-13
vs RHP (Starters) 56-55
Day Games 21-17
Night Games 57-52

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – J.A. Happ

  • The Cardinals will send Happ (4-2) to the mound for his ninth start this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings against the Reds while allowing two hits.
  • The 38-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 4.08, a 2.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.240.
  • Happ has started eight games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
  • His team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 2:05 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 76-72
Home 44-31
Road 32-41
vs LHP (Starters) 23-17
vs RHP (Starters) 48-55
Day Games 6-5
Night Games 70-67

Cardinals Hitting Stats

  • The Cardinals are 22nd in baseball with 171 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.
  • The Cardinals have hit 68 homers at home this season (0.9 per game).
  • St. Louis has 17 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • The Cardinals have won seven games in a row entering this matchup. During that streak the team is averaging 6.3 runs per game while giving up 2.6 runs per outing.
  • Paul Goldschmidt leads St. Louis with a batting average of .290. He’s also hit 26 home runs with 88 RBI.
  • Tyler O’Neill has 120 hits and an OBP of .350 to go with a slugging percentage of .536 this season.

Padres Hitting Stats

  • The Padres have hit 163 homers this season, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • In 73 games on the road this season, they’ve hit 87 homers, an average of 1.2 per contest.
  • San Diego has just three homers over its last 10 games.
  • Manny Machado leads the Padres with 93 runs batted in.
  • Jake Cronenworth is hitting .269 with 29 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 46 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Cardinals (-115)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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