Marlins Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2021

Sandy Alcantara will try to collect his 10th win of the campaign when his Miami Marlins (62-86) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-92) at 1:10 PM ET on Sunday. Alcantara starts for Miami (-220 to win), and Max Kranick is Pittsburgh’s (+180) pick to start.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 19, 2021, 1:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Marlins vs Pirates Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have won 26, or 54.2%, of the 48 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Miami has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -220.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 65.8% chance to win.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 12
ERA 3.27
K/9 9.2

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been victorous in 49, or 36.3%, of the 135 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win six times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +180 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 34.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the total, the Pirates and their foes are 3-6-1 in their last 10 contests.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 3
ERA 3.70
K/9 7.6

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Max Kranick

  • The Pirates will send Kranick (1-3) to the mound to make his seventh start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 7.66 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 24 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Thursday, Sept. 2, the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings against the White Sox, giving up five earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • During six games this season, the 24-year-old has put up a 7.66 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .321 to opposing hitters.
  • Kranick will try to pick up his third game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Pirates have a 2-4 record in Kranick’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 1:07 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 62-86
Home 38-36
Road 24-50
vs LHP (Starters) 16-27
vs RHP (Starters) 43-58
Day Games 4-11
Night Games 58-75

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara

  • The Marlins will send Alcantara (9-13) to the mound for his 31st start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed eight innings without allowing a run on one hit in a matchup with the Nationals.
  • The 26-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (3.10), 12th in WHIP (1.040), 15th in strikeouts (185), and 19th in BB/9 (2.20) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.
  • Alcantara has 26 starts of five or more innings this season in 30 chances. He averages 6.0 innings per outing.
  • His team is 7-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 1:07 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 56-92
Home 34-41
Road 22-51
vs LHP (Starters) 14-32
vs RHP (Starters) 41-59
Day Games 13-29
Night Games 43-63

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins have hit 144 home runs this season, the third-lowest total in MLB play.
  • The Marlins have hit two or more homers in 34 games this season, and are 26-8 in those contests.
  • Miami has hit 12 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Miguel Rojas is batting .268 with eight home runs and 44 RBI for Miami this season.
  • Jazz Chisholm leads Miami in home runs with 15 and runs batted in with 46.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit just 113 homers this season, which ranks last in the league.
  • They are 18-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Pittsburgh has just three homers over its last 10 games.
  • Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 23 home runs and 86 runs batted in.
  • Jacob Stallings is batting .242 with 20 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 47 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+180)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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