Week 11 Draft.com NFL DFS Lineup Picks, Promo Code, and Strategy
Week 11 of NFL DFS is upon us, and everyone is looking to cash in on the big money at DRAFT. Every week, we’ll bring you our top daily fantasy NFL picks for each position and recommend them as safer plays for H2H and smaller leagues and/or 6-10 team league plays.
H2H and Three-Team draft choices generally come with less risk and more stable floors, while the best 10-Team plays equal lots of risk and upside. Taking a chance on players with high ceilings and low floors is a good way to separate from the field.
Let’s talk a little more strategy. As with any DFS sport, the advice below is relevant for fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, gameflow, and various other factors. This is important to remember when drafting a roster.
You can use the advice below at DRAFT by clicking here for a free $3 entry.
Best Week 11 NFL DFS DRAFT.com H2H and Three-Team Picks
Carson Wentz @ DAL
Tom Brady @ OAK
Russell Wilson vs. ATL
Alex Smith @ NYG
Carson Wentz is a certifiable MVP candidate and arguably the QB with the greatest combination of athleticism and accuracy in the NFL right now (while Aaron Rodgers is on injured reserve). He draws a fantastic matchup this week at Dallas with the Cowboys’ best LB Sean Lee (hamstring) questionable. If Dak Prescott can match points for a bit, Wentz might flash more upside than he has in recent blowouts.
Speaking of blowouts, Tom Brady lit up a supposedly staunch Broncos defense thanks to excellent coaching and execution on Sunday night. Now, he faces a Raiders team that ranks dead last in DVOA pass defense. Brady is deservedly the top option in Week 11. The off-beat atmosphere of a game played in Mexico City should do little to disrupt his rhythm.
Russell Wilson is carrying the Seahawks’ offense with no running game to speak of. Now, Seattle’s defense is shorthanded with Richard Sherman (achilles) done for the year and Earl Thomas (hamstring) questionable. That all sets up a potential shootout on Monday night between Wilson and the surging Atlanta Falcons.
Alex Smith has regressed a bit since starting the year red hot, but he faces a completely inept Giants defense that just gave up a QB4 performance to C.J. Beathard. Clearly, Smith has a great floor-ceiling combination in this matchup.
Kareem Hunt @ NYG
Todd Gurley @ MIN
Mark Ingram vs. WAS
Leonard Fournette @ CLE
Given the struggles of the Giants’ defense, Kareem Hunt makes sense as the top overall pick in most drafts this week. He’s been quiet in consecutive tough matchups against the Broncos and Cowboys but now faces a team that ranks 25th in DVOA run defense and allows the third-most RuYPG (132.6) this season.
Todd Gurley draws a much tougher matchup this week after rolling over the Texans and Giants the past two weeks, but his volume ensures another productive day. Gurley’s been far more involved in the passing game under Sean McVay, and he’s handled at least 16 touches in every game, plus 99 total receptions on the season.
The new-look Saints are absolutely rolling right now. They’ve been leaning on a surprisingly efficient offensive line in the red zone, and Mark Ingram has reaped the benefits. He’s rushed for six touchdowns in the five games since the Saints’ bye week and has a stranglehold on work between the tackles.
Leonard Fournette’s playing time dipped in Week 10 after he was suspended in Week 9. Therefore, he might be available in the later rounds of drafts at a discounted rate. While the Browns have been tougher against the run than the pass, the Jaguars want to ride their rookie as often as possible. Fournette will likely get several scoring opportunities with Jacksonville (-7.5) favored on the road.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Mike Evans @ MIA
Rob Gronkowski @ OAK
Julio Jones @ SEA
Travis Kelce @ NYG
Zach Ertz @ DAL
This is a rare week in which the top TEs might actually be worth drafting ahead of the top WRs. Antonio Brown plays on Thursday night, and other top wideouts (A.J. Green, Michael Thomas, DeAndre Hopkins) are set to do battle with elite CBs this week.
Mike Evans, for a change, won’t have to battle any top corner this week, as he takes on a Miami team that ranks 30th in DVOA pass defense and 26th against the opposition’s top target. He should be highly motivated in his return to the field after a one-game suspension and is worth taking early as a somewhat contrarian pick given his recent lack of production.
Julio Jones is another WR in a perceived tough spot, but the loss of Richard Sherman, combined with nagging injuries to Kam Chancellor (knee) and Earl Thomas (hamstring), significantly weakens The Legion of Boom. Jones went for 67 yards and a touchdown in a playoff game against Seattle last January and torched their defense for 139 yards and a score in their last regular season meeting.
From there, we get to the great triumvirate of TEs in the NFL today, and all three have fantastic matchups.
Rob Gronkowski faces a Raiders team that can’t cover anyone and does little to negate the opposition’s top weapon. Oakland ranks 28th in DVOA pass defense against opposing TEs.
Zach Ertz comes out of the bye week to face a Cowboys team that could be without elite coverage LB Sean Lee (hamstring). Travis Kelce is facing a Giants team that’s given up a TE touchdown in a whopping 11 consecutive games, including a 48-yard score to Garrett Celek last Sunday.
Best Week 10 NFL DFS 6- to 10-Team League Picks
Dak Prescott vs. PHI
Drew Brees vs. WAS
Derek Carr vs. NE
Kirk Cousins @ NO
The Cowboys really struggled to protect Dak Prescott on Sunday. Ezekiel Elliott’s absence turned the Falcons’ pass rushers loose and the absence of all-pro LT Tyron Smith was felt. If Smith returns this week, the Cowboys will likely look to test the Eagles’ mediocre secondary down the field, which has been a recipe for success against a unit giving up the seventh-most passing YPG (249.4) this season.
Drew Brees is becoming an increasingly contrarian play because he’s somehow only thrown three touchdowns over his last four games. Yet he’s bound to return to his career averages and could pick apart a Washington defense that’s quite vulnerable when facing savvy slot receivers.
Kirk Cousins might be the best QB to take in the later rounds this week since he’ll likely be chasing points in a high-scoring affair at the Superdome. The Saints’ improved defense is no joke, but “Captain Kirk” found a way to hang 327 passing yards and rush for two scores against the elite Vikings defense, so he’s worth a look in larger drafts.
Finally, Derek Carr has upside as a true boom-bust option taking on Tom Brady and a newly mighty Patriots defense. While New England’s secondary is playing better, it remains quite vulnerable against teams that can execute. Carr is obviously a serious step up from recent opponents Brock Osweiler and Philip Rivers.
Jordan Howard vs. DET
LeSean McCoy @ LAC
Alvin Kamara vs. WAS
Jay Ajayi @ DAL
Jordan Howard was stymied by the Packers’ solid defensive line last Sunday but could bounce back against a Detroit team that’s given up the second-most rushing TDs (10) in the NFL. The Lions struggled to stop the Browns’ running game last week.
Victimized by gameflow in a second consecutive week, LeSean McCoy never got off the block by the time the Saints’ offense was done lapping the Bills last Sunday. He draws a very juicy matchup against the Chargers weak run defense this week and could definitely bounce back in a closer game.
While Mark Ingram converts on the goal line, Alvin Kamara is still seeing plenty of work in the passing game. The rookie is making the most of his opportunities, averaging a league-high 6.5 yards per carry and churning out 8.7 yards per reception. Washington’s defense is stout on the interior, so there’s a chance New Orleans compensates by using Kamara on the edges as well as in the screen game.
Jay Ajayi is a dart throw to take in the later rounds as you might anticipate his role expanding after practicing with his new teammates during the Eagles’ bye week. The Cowboys rank 30th in DVOA run defense, and if Sean Lee remains out, Ajayi could lead a productive ground game with gameflow on his side.
Tyreek Hill @ NYG
Michael Crabtree vs. NE
Alshon Jeffery @ DAL
Brandin Cooks @ OAK
Jarvis Landry vs. TB
The Giants have a legitimate shutdown CB in Janoris Jenkins, but he rarely travels into the slot where the Chiefs use Tyreek Hill in highly creative ways. Hill is bound to avoid Jenkins’ coverage throughout most of this game.
Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper could both have big games as the Raiders chase points in Mexico City against the high-scoring Patriots. Crabtree profiles as more of a secondary receiver and could benefit when Bill Belichick’s defense sells out to stop the “1A” receiver.
Alshon Jeffery is developing chemistry with Carson Wentz at the perfect time, and the hard part of his schedule is behind him. He caught eight balls for 146 yards and three scores over two games before the Eagles’ bye week and will likely find holes down the field against a struggling Cowboys secondary.
Another premier deep threat, Brandin Cooks stands to become more involved in the game plan after the Patriots heavily targeted RBs and TEs at Denver last week. Cooks will match up against over-sized Raiders CBs Sean Smith, Travis Carrie, and David Amerson. Oakland has given up 14 passing touchdowns without recording an interception this year.
Both DeVante Parker and Jarvis Landry will be worth a look against a weak Bucs secondary this week. Landry possesses a much higher floor; his individual matchup is better against the Bucs struggling slot coverage.
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