Blue Jays Vs Twins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2021

The Toronto Blue Jays (83-65) and Minnesota Twins (65-84) play on Sunday at 1:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie. Toronto’s (-235 to win) Jose Berrios gets the start versus Minnesota’s (+190) Luke Farrell.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 19, 2021, 1:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Blue Jays vs Twins Betting Lines

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 100 times and won 57, or 57%, of those games.
  • This season, Toronto has won 12 of its 19 games, or 63.2%, when favored by at least -235 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 67% chance to win.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 5-2-3 when it comes to hitting the over.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 7.6
HR 22
ERA 4.55
K/9 9.6

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Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have come away with 29 wins in the 69 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Minnesota has a mark of 1-6 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +190 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 33% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • When it comes to the total, the Twins and their foes are 6-4 in their last 10 contests.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 18
ERA 4.59
K/9 7.6

Twins Probable Pitcher – Luke Farrell

  • Farrell will start for the Twins, his first of the season.
  • The 30-year-old right-hander has pitched out of the bullpen 16 times this season.
  • The Blue Jays rank third in MLB play with 780 runs scored this season, and are batting .266 with 236 home runs (first in baseball).
  • Farrell’s team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 1:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Blue Jays Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 83-65
Home 42-32
Road 41-33
vs LHP (Starters) 21-20
vs RHP (Starters) 62-45
Day Games 6-2
Night Games 77-63

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – José Berríos

  • Berrios (4-3) will take the mound for the Blue Jays, his 10th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in seven innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Rays.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 3.31, a 5.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.180.
  • In nine starts this season, Berrios has lasted five or more innings seven times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • His team is 3-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 1:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 65-84
Home 34-40
Road 31-44
vs LHP (Starters) 17-34
vs RHP (Starters) 48-50
Day Games 14-20
Night Games 51-64

Blue Jays Hitting Stats

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit a league-leading 236 home runs, averaging 1.6 per game.
  • The Blue Jays have racked up at least two homers in 67 games this season, and are 52-15 in those contests.
  • Toronto has hit 22 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads Toronto in batting average (.318) and home runs (46) this season, while also chipping in with 104 RBI.
  • Teoscar Hernandez is a key run producer for Toronto with a .304 average, 28 homers and 106 RBI.

Twins Hitting Stats

  • The Twins rank fourth in Major League Baseball with 211 home runs.
  • They have averaged 1.4 home runs per game in their 75 road contests this season.
  • Minnesota has hit 18 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Jorge Polanco leads the Twins in home runs (31) and runs batted in (90).
  • Josh Donaldson is batting .246 with 23 doubles, 24 home runs and 62 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Blue Jays (-235)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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