Dodgers Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2021

Trea Turner leads the Los Angeles Dodgers (95-54) into a matchup with Nicholas Castellanos and the Cincinnati Reds (77-72) at Great American Ball Park, on Sunday at 1:10 PM ET. Turner is at .317, the second-best average in the league, and Castellanos is seventh at .307. Clayton Kershaw starts for Los Angeles (-195 to win), and Wade Miley is Cincinnati’s (+165) choice to start.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 19, 2021, 1:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Dodgers vs Reds Betting Lines

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 146 games this season and won 95 (65.1%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 54-20, a 73% win rate, when favored by -195 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 63.7% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Dodgers and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 2.28
K/9 9.2

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Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been victorous in 26, or 45.6%, of the 57 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +165 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 36.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Reds and their opponents have combined to clear the total two times.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 9
ERA 3.22
K/9 8.9

Reds Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley

  • Miley gets the start for the Reds, his 28th of the season. He is 12-6 with a 3.09 ERA and 123 strikeouts through 160 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out came on Tuesday against the Pirates, when the left-hander went 4 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
  • This season, the 34-year-old ranks 13th in ERA (3.09), and ninth in BB/9 (2.80) among pitchers who qualify.
  • Miley has put up 21 starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Reds have a 4-7 record in Miley’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 1:10 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Dodgers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 94-53
Home 52-22
Road 42-31
vs LHP (Starters) 27-13
vs RHP (Starters) 67-40
Day Games 6-5
Night Games 88-48

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Clayton Kershaw

  • The Dodgers will hand the ball to Kershaw (9-7) for his 20th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Diamondbacks, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.33, 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .215 in 19 games this season.
  • Kershaw has started 19 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 16 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • His team is 12-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 19, 2021 at 1:10 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 77-72
Home 39-34
Road 38-38
vs LHP (Starters) 18-16
vs RHP (Starters) 56-55
Day Games 26-18
Night Games 51-54

Dodgers Hitting Stats

  • The Dodgers are fifth-best in MLB action with 207 total home runs.
  • The Dodgers average 1.2 home runs per road game this season (86 total away from home).
  • Los Angeles has 11 home runs during the past 10 games.
  • Turner leads Los Angeles with a .317 batting average. He’s also hit 22 homers and has 62 RBI.
  • Justin Turner is batting .279 with an OBP of .365 and a slugging percentage of .475 this season.

Reds Hitting Stats

  • The Reds rank ninth in Major League Baseball with 198 home runs.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 61 games this season and are 44-17 in those matchups.
  • Cincinnati has nine homers over its last 10 games.
  • Castellanos has 35 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .307.
  • Jonathan India has 28 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 62 walks while hitting .270.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+165)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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