Brewers Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 18, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 18, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers (90-57) host the Chicago Cubs (66-82) on Saturday at American Family Field, at 7:15 PM ET. Milwaukee’s (-335 to win) Corbin Burnes gets the start versus Chicago’s (+260) Justin Steele.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 18, 2021, 7:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been favorites in 116 games this season and won 72 (62.1%) of those contests.
  • Milwaukee has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -335 moneyline set for this game.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 73.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 13
ERA 2.70
K/9 10.9

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Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been victorous in 29, or 34.1%, of the 85 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Chicago has played as an underdog of +260 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 26.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on five occasions.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 16
ERA 6.50
K/9 7.2

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele

  • Steele (3-3) takes the mound first for the Cubs in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 4.17 ERA in 41 innings pitched, with 43 strikeouts.
  • The lefty’s most recent time out was on Sunday against the Giants, when he tossed five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
  • In 17 games this season, the 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.17, with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .237 against him.
  • Steele has four starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Cubs have been the moneyline underdog in six of Steele’s starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 18, 2021 at 7:07 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 90-57
Home 41-31
Road 49-26
vs LHP (Starters) 18-13
vs RHP (Starters) 72-39
Day Games 27-15
Night Games 63-42

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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes (10-4) will take to the mound for the Brewers and make his 26th start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run or hit in eight innings pitched on Saturday, Sept. 11 in his last outing, a matchup with the Indians.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 26-year-old ranks second in ERA (2.25), second in WHIP (.910), sixth in strikeouts (210), and first in K/9 (12.40).
  • In 25 starts this season, Burnes has lasted five or more innings 23 times, with an average of 6.0 innings per appearance.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 17-7.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 18, 2021 at 7:07 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 66-82
Home 39-36
Road 27-46
vs LHP (Starters) 19-22
vs RHP (Starters) 43-58
Day Games 5-7
Night Games 61-75

Brewers Hitting Stats

  • The Brewers rank 18th in baseball with 176 total home runs.
  • The Brewers average 1.1 homers per game when playing at home this season (82 total in home contests).
  • Milwaukee has hit 13 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Avisail Garcia leads Milwaukee in home runs (27) and runs batted in (82) this season while batting .269.
  • Kolten Wong is batting .280 with an OBP of .339 and a slugging percentage of .458 this season.

Cubs Hitting Stats

  • The Cubs’ 196 home runs rank 10th in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 53 games this season and are 33-20 in those matchups.
  • Over the last 10 games, Chicago has hit 16 home runs.
  • Ian Happ leads the Cubs with 54 runs batted in.
  • Patrick Wisdom’s 26 home runs and 54 RBI both pace his team.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
Brewers (-335)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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