Marlins Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 18, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on September 18, 2021

The Miami Marlins (62-85) and Pittsburgh Pirates (55-92) do battle on Saturday at 6:10 PM ET. Miami’s (-130 to win) Edward Cabrera and Pittsburgh’s (+110) Bryse Wilson pitch first for their squads in this matchup.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of September 18, 2021, 6:00 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Marlins vs Pirates Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Marlins have won 26 out of the 47 games, or 55.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Miami has entered 21 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 13-8 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 11
ERA 3.38
K/9 8.6

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Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 134 games this season and have come away with the win 48 times (35.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, Pittsburgh has won 38 of 113 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on three occasions.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 4
ERA 3.70
K/9 7.6

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Bryse Wilson

  • Wilson (0-4) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his eighth start of the season. He has a 5.09 ERA in 35 1/3 innings pitched, with 20 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Nationals, when the right-hander tossed 4 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 5.09, with 5.1 strikeouts per nine innings in seven games this season. Opposing hitters have a .261 batting average against him.
  • Wilson heads into the game with five outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The Pirates have a 2-5 record in Wilson’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 18, 2021 at 6:11 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 62-85
Home 38-35
Road 24-50
vs LHP (Starters) 16-27
vs RHP (Starters) 43-57
Day Games 4-11
Night Games 58-74

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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera

  • The Marlins will hand the ball to Cabrera (0-1) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Braves.
  • The 23-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 6.61, a 0.9 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.530.
  • His team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 18, 2021 at 6:11 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 55-92
Home 34-41
Road 21-51
vs LHP (Starters) 14-32
vs RHP (Starters) 40-59
Day Games 13-29
Night Games 42-63

Marlins Hitting Stats

  • The Marlins have hit the third-fewest home runs in MLB play this season (143).
  • The Marlins are 26-8 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • Miami has hit 11 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Miguel Rojas has been key for Miami with 123 hits, an OBP of .325 plus a slugging percentage of .397.
  • Jazz Chisholm leads Miami in home runs with 15 and runs batted in with 46.

Pirates Hitting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit just 113 homers this season, which ranks last in the league.
  • They’ve hit 58 homers, an average of 0.8 per game, in 72 road contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Pittsburgh has hit four home runs.
  • Bryan Reynolds has a team-best batting average of .299, while pacing the Pirates in home runs (23) and runs batted in (86).
  • Jacob Stallings has 20 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 47 walks while batting .240.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+110)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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