Cowboys vs. Patriots Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 4

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 26, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

CeeDee Lamb and the Dallas Cowboys (2-1) will get a stiff test when they square off against the New England Patriots (1-2), who own the NFL’s fifth-best pass D, on Sunday, October 1 at 4:25 PM ET. Lamb is 10th-best in the NFL in receiving yards.

The Cowboys are 6-point favorites in their matchup against the Patriots. The total is set at 43 points.

The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of October 1, 2023 at 11:17 AM ET. Check out the article below for the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cowboys Vs Patriots Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Cowboys -6 43

Cowboys vs. Patriots Predictions

Computer picks for Cowboys vs Patriots
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Cowboys (-6) Under (43)

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Team Stat Rankings

Cowboys Patriots
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 28.7 (7) 17.3 (26)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 12.7 (3) 19.7 (9)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.0 (15) 4.7 (23)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.8 (9) 4.4 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 1 (1) 4 (15)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 7 (4) 2 (23)

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Cowboys Betting Insights

  • The Cowboys have posted two wins against the spread this season.
  • As a 6-point or greater favorite, Dallas has one win ATS (1-1) this season.
  • Two Cowboys games (out of three) have gone over the point total this year.
  • The over/under in this game is 43 points, 0.8 higher than the average total in Dallas games this season (playoffs included).

Patriots Betting Insights

  • The Patriots have one win against the spread this season.
  • One of the Patriots’ three games has gone over the point total.
  • New England games have finished with over 43 points one time this year.
  • Patriots games average 42.0 total points, 1.0 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Cowboys Players to Watch

  • Dak Prescott has thrown for 647 yards (215.7 ypg) to lead Dallas, completing 67.6% of his passes and tossing three touchdown passes compared to one interception this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 44 rushing yards on 10 carries.
  • Tony Pollard has 264 rushing yards on 62 carries with two touchdowns. He’s also tacked on 12 catches for 48 yards (16.0 per game).
  • Rico Dowdle has racked up 71 yards on 17 carries.
  • Lamb’s team-high 273 yards as a receiver have come on 19 receptions (out of 24 targets).
  • Michael Gallup has caught eight passes while averaging 35.0 yards per game.
  • Jake Ferguson has been the target of 18 passes and hauled in 10 receptions for 70 yards, an average of 23.3 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone one time through the air this season.
  • Micah Parsons has 4.0 sacks to pace the team, and also has 5.0 TFL and 12 tackles.
  • Dallas’ top-tackler, Damone Clark, has 15 tackles this year.
  • Stephon Gilmore leads the team with one interception, while also recording 12 tackles and four passes defended.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones has compiled 748 yards on 64.8% passing while recording five touchdown passes with two interceptions this season. He’s also run for 53 yards .
  • The team’s top rusher, Rhamondre Stevenson, has carried the ball 46 times for 134 yards (44.7 per game) with one touchdown. He’s also caught 10 passes for 77 yards.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has racked up 122 yards on 28 carries.
  • Kendrick Bourne’s 139 receiving yards (46.3 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 14 catches on 25 targets with two touchdowns.
  • Hunter Henry has collected 125 receiving yards (41.7 yards per game) and two touchdowns on 13 receptions.
  • Mike Gesicki’s 10 targets have resulted in nine grabs for 87 yards.
  • Matthew Judon has 4.0 sacks to pace the team, and also has 5.0 TFL and 12 tackles.
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s amassed 20 tackles and 2.0 TFL.
  • Christian Gonzalez leads the team with one interception, while also putting up 16 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and three passes defended.

How to Bet on Cowboys vs Patriots

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