Aaron Jones: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 3 Packers Vs Saints – September 24, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 19, 2023

Aaron Jones will take the field for the Green Bay Packers when they take on the New Orleans Saints at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Aaron Jones Player Props vs the Saints

Anytime TD Odds

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 7 7
Games w/1+ TDs 2 4
Games w/2+ TDs 0 1

Aaron Jones’ Rushing Trends

  • A season ago Jones picked up 1,121 rushing yards (65.9 per game) and scored two touchdowns. He tacked on 59 catches for 395 yards (23.2 per game) and five receiving touchdowns.
  • He was sixth in the NFL with 5.3 rushing yards per attempt last year (1,121 yards on 213 carries).
  • Jones’ 1,121 rushing yards ranked 10th in the league last season, and his two TDs on the ground ranked 62nd.

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Jones’ Receiving Trends

  • With 395 yards on 59 receptions, Jones was 133rd in the league with 6.7 yards per catch last season.

This Week’s Predictions

Jones (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Saints (2022) Prediction
0+ Rushing Yards 100% 100% 100% 100%
1+ Rushing TDs 11.8% 35.1% 30% 19.3%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 3.3% 1.6%
1+ Receiving TDs 23.5% 22.3% 15.3% 21.3%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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