The Houston Astros (84-66) and Baltimore Orioles (93-56) square off on Monday at 8:10 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Minute Maid Park.
The Astros are favored at home (-194) against the Orioles (+161). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of September 18, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -194 | +161 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have won 59 out of the 110 games, or 53.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Houston has won 17 of its 26 games, or 65.4%, when favored by at least -194 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 66% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Houston’s games have gone over the total in 78 of its 150 chances.
- The Astros are 75-75-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have come away with 43 wins in the 75 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Baltimore has a win-loss record of 3-2 when favored by +161 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 38.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Baltimore and its opponents have gone over in 78 of its 149 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Orioles are 91-58-0 against the spread in their 149 games that had a posted line this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.86 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander’s team is 11-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw seven innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up five earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Verlander has 17 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 24 chances this season.
- Verlander’s team is 11-8 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Verlander’s team is 13-11 when he starts this season.
- In games Verlander has started this season, the teams are 10-12-2 at hitting the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 65 | 66 | 90 | 1.91 | 24 | 4 |
| Kendall Graveman | 63 | 63.1 | 63 | 3.27 | 12 | 8 |
| Héctor Neris | 62 | 60.2 | 68 | 1.93 | 27 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 62 | 61.2 | 69 | 3.21 | 8 | 1 |
| Rafael Montero | 62 | 63.1 | 73 | 4.83 | 10 | 1 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – John Means
- Means (0-1) pitches first for the Orioles to make his second start of the season.
- In his last appearance on Tuesday, the left-hander threw five innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- The Orioles have not been a moneyline underdog when Means starts this season.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Means’ only start with a total this season went under.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 64 | 68.2 | 58 | 1.97 | 29 | 6 |
| Cionel Pérez | 58 | 50.1 | 42 | 3.22 | 9 | 1 |
| Michael Baumann | 56 | 62.1 | 60 | 3.75 | 6 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 55 | 55 | 46 | 6.22 | 10 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 54 | 46.2 | 53 | 2.31 | 22 | 2 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 40-13 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
- Houston has put up at least five extra-base hits in 34 games this season, and has gone 27-7 in those outings.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 103 games this season, and is 78-25 in those contests.
- Houston has a 73-12 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros have gone 39-8 in the 47 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They have won 42 of the 56 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has won 35 of its 38 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 70 of the 97 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Baltimore has won 73 of its 84 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 28-9
Astros vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-194)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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