Kansas State vs. UCF: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

A pair of Big 12 teams square off when the Kansas State Wildcats (2-1) take on the UCF Knights (3-0) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. The Wildcats are favored by 4 points. The over/under in this outing is 53 points.

Want to bet on Kansas State or UCF in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Kansas State vs. UCF Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Kansas State -4 -110 -110 53 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Kansas State vs UCF
ATS Total Score prediction
UCF (+4) Under (53) UCF 27 Kansas State 25

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Kansas State UCF
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 38.0 (38) 40.7 (20)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 14.3 (23) 12.0 (15)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (34) 5 (78)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (105) 3 (82)

Kansas State vs. UCF Betting Insights

Kansas State Stats and Trends

  • Kansas State has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Wildcats have won each of their two games this season when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
  • This season, games featuring the Kansas State have hit the over twice.
  • In two games this season, the Cats and their opponents have combined to put up more than 53 points.
  • K-State’s games this season have had an average of 51.2 points, 1.8 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.

UCF Stats and Trends

  • UCF has covered twice in three chances against the spread this year.
  • So far this year, two UCF games have gone over the point total.
  • The Knights and their opponents have combined to score more than 53 points twice this season.
  • UCF’s contests this season have a 55.3-point average over/under, 2.3 more points than this game’s total.

Kansas State Players to Watch

  • This year, Will Howard has recorded 817 passing yards (272.3 yards per game) while going 64-for-97 (66% completion percentage) and throwing eight touchdowns and three interceptions. He has added 59 rushing yards on 21 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 19.7 yards per game.
  • DJ Giddens has run for a team-high 216 yards on 36 attempts (72.0 yards per game) and zero touchdowns.
  • Treshaun Ward has run for 168 yards on 37 carries (56.0 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year. He also has seven catches for 72 yards (24.0 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Phillip Brooks III has 18 catches and paces his team with 184 receiving yards (61.3 ypg) while scoring two touchdowns.
  • Ben Sinnott has chipped in with 11 catches for 183 yards and two touchdowns this year. He puts up 61.0 receiving yards per game.
  • RJ Garcia II has collected 168 yards on 10 receptions with one touchdown, averaging 56.0 yards per game.

UCF Players to Watch

  • John Rhys Plumlee has thrown for 553 yards while completing 70.4% of his passes (38-of-54), with three touchdowns and four interceptions this year (184.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 19 times for 163 yards and one touchdown, averaging 54.3 yards per game.
  • RJ Harvey has rushed for a team-leading 239 yards on 39 attempts (79.7 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He also averages 33.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing five passes for 100 yards and one touchdown.
  • Johnny Richardson has run for 213 yards on 33 carries (71.0 yards per game) this year.
  • This season Kobe Hudson has 15 receptions for a team-high 325 receiving yards (108.3 per game).
  • Javon Baker has chipped in with 209 yards (on 13 catches) and one touchdown.

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