Kansas State vs. UCF: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

A pair of Big 12 teams take the field when the Kansas State Wildcats (2-1) and the UCF Knights (3-0) play on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. The Wildcats are favored by 6 points. An over/under of 52.5 points has been set for the outing.

Want to bet on Kansas State or UCF in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Kansas State vs. UCF Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Kansas State -6 -110 -110 52.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Kansas State vs UCF
ATS Total Score prediction
UCF (+6) Under (52.5) UCF 27 Kansas State 25

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Kansas State UCF
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 38.0 (42) 40.7 (25)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 14.3 (22) 12.0 (14)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (33) 5 (77)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (105) 3 (84)

Kansas State vs. UCF Betting Insights

Kansas State Stats and Trends

  • Kansas State has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Wildcats have won each of their two games this season when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
  • So far this season, two Kansas State games have hit the over.
  • The Cats and their opponents have scored a combined total of more than 52.5 points twice this season (in three games).
  • K-State has an average total of 51.2 in their outings this year, 1.3 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

UCF Stats and Trends

  • UCF has covered twice in three chances against the spread this season.
  • This year, games featuring UCF have hit the over twice.
  • The Knights and their opponents have combined to score more than 52.5 points twice this season.
  • The average total for UCF games this season has been 55.3, 2.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Kansas State Players to Watch

  • Will Howard has thrown for 817 yards while completing 66% of his passes (64-of-97), with eight touchdowns and three interceptions this year (272.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 21 times for 59 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 19.7 yards per game.
  • DJ Giddens has 36 attempts for a team-high 216 rushing yards (72.0 per game) and zero touchdowns.
  • Treshaun Ward has run for 168 yards on 37 carries (56.0 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year. He also has seven catches for 72 yards (24.0 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Phillip Brooks III has 18 catches, leading his team with 184 yards (61.3 ypg) while scoring two touchdowns this season.
  • Ben Sinnott has tacked on 183 yards (on 11 catches) and two touchdowns.
  • RJ Garcia II has caught 10 passes for 168 yards and one touchdown, averaging 56.0 yards per game this year.

UCF Players to Watch

  • John Rhys Plumlee leads the team with 553 passing yards (184.3 yards per game) and has a 70.4% completion percentage this year (38-of-54) while throwing three touchdowns with four interceptions. He also has 163 rushing yards on 19 carries with one touchdown, averaging 54.3 yards per game.
  • RJ Harvey has run for a team-leading 239 yards on 39 carries (79.7 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He also averages 33.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing five passes for 100 yards and one touchdown.
  • Johnny Richardson has run for 213 yards on 33 carries (71.0 yards per game) this year.
  • Kobe Hudson has 15 catches, leading his team with 325 yards (108.3 ypg) this season.
  • Javon Baker’s stat line this year shows 13 catches for 209 yards and one touchdown. He averages 69.7 receiving yards per game.

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