Troy vs. Western Kentucky: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Troy Trojans (1-2) face the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-1) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). The Trojans are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3.5 points. The over/under is set at 57.5 in the contest.

Want to bet on Troy or Western Kentucky in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Troy vs. Western Kentucky Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Troy -3.5 -110 -110 57.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Troy vs Western Kentucky
ATS Total Score prediction
Western Kentucky (+3.5) Under (57.5) Western Kentucky 32 Troy 24

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Troy Western Kentucky
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 25.0 (90) 34.3 (54)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 29.3 (93) 36.3 (114)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 7 (114) 4 (60)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (105) 8 (7)

Troy vs. Western Kentucky Betting Insights

Troy Stats and Trends

  • Troy is winless against the spread this season (0-3-0).
  • The Trojans have been favored by 3.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • Troy games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • Only one of the Trojans three matchups has gone over 57.5 points.
  • Troy’s matchups this year have an average point total of 48.2, 9.3 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Western Kentucky Stats and Trends

  • Western Kentucky has won one game against the spread this year.
  • The Hilltoppers have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • This season, games featuring Western Kentucky have gone over the point total twice.
  • Every game the Toppers have played this season has gone over 57.5 combined points scored.
  • WKU has a 67.0-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 9.5 more points than this game’s point total.

Troy Players to Watch

  • This year, Gunnar Watson has racked up 697 passing yards (232.3 yards per game) while going 56-for-100 (56% completion percentage) and throwing seven touchdowns and three interceptions.
  • Kimani Vidal has taken 53 attempts for a team-leading 358 rushing yards (119.3 yards per game). He’s also caught three passes for 59 yards (19.7 receiving yards per game).
  • Jarris Williams has rushed for 46 yards on eight carries (15.3 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
  • Jabre Barber has hauled in 11 passes for a team-best 156 yards with two touchdowns. He averages 52.0 yards per game.
  • Chris Lewis has added 143 yards (on nine catches) and one touchdown.
  • Devonte Ross has 120 receiving yards on 12 receptions, with two touchdowns, averaging 40.0 yards per game.

Western Kentucky Players to Watch

  • Austin Reed has passed for 796 yards while completing 64.2% of his throws (77-of-120), with seven touchdowns and one interception (265.3 yards per game). He’s also rushed 14 times for 55 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 18.3 yards per game.
  • Davion Ervin-Poindexter has picked up a team-best 100 rushing yards (33.3 per game) and zero touchdowns.
  • Markese Stepp has rushed for 88 yards on 21 carries (29.3 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
  • This season Malachi Corley has 12 catches and leads the team with 143 yards (71.5 per game) while hauling in one touchdown.
  • Easton Messer has contributed with 12 receptions for 141 yards and one touchdown.
  • L’Christian Smith has totaled 118 yards on 10 receptions with one touchdown, averaging 39.3 yards per game.

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