The Troy Trojans (1-2) face the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-1) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). The Trojans are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3.5 points. The over/under is set at 57.5 in the contest.
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Troy vs. Western Kentucky Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -3.5 | -110 | -110 | 57.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky (+3.5) | Under (57.5) | Western Kentucky 32 Troy 24 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Troy | Western Kentucky | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 25.0 (90) | 34.3 (54) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 29.3 (93) | 36.3 (114) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 7 (114) | 4 (60) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 2 (105) | 8 (7) |
Troy vs. Western Kentucky Betting Insights
Troy Stats and Trends
- Troy is winless against the spread this season (0-3-0).
- The Trojans have been favored by 3.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- Troy games have gone over the point total twice this season.
- Only one of the Trojans three matchups has gone over 57.5 points.
- Troy’s matchups this year have an average point total of 48.2, 9.3 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Western Kentucky Stats and Trends
- Western Kentucky has won one game against the spread this year.
- The Hilltoppers have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
- This season, games featuring Western Kentucky have gone over the point total twice.
- Every game the Toppers have played this season has gone over 57.5 combined points scored.
- WKU has a 67.0-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 9.5 more points than this game’s point total.
Troy Players to Watch
- This year, Gunnar Watson has racked up 697 passing yards (232.3 yards per game) while going 56-for-100 (56% completion percentage) and throwing seven touchdowns and three interceptions.
- Kimani Vidal has taken 53 attempts for a team-leading 358 rushing yards (119.3 yards per game). He’s also caught three passes for 59 yards (19.7 receiving yards per game).
- Jarris Williams has rushed for 46 yards on eight carries (15.3 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- Jabre Barber has hauled in 11 passes for a team-best 156 yards with two touchdowns. He averages 52.0 yards per game.
- Chris Lewis has added 143 yards (on nine catches) and one touchdown.
- Devonte Ross has 120 receiving yards on 12 receptions, with two touchdowns, averaging 40.0 yards per game.
Western Kentucky Players to Watch
- Austin Reed has passed for 796 yards while completing 64.2% of his throws (77-of-120), with seven touchdowns and one interception (265.3 yards per game). He’s also rushed 14 times for 55 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 18.3 yards per game.
- Davion Ervin-Poindexter has picked up a team-best 100 rushing yards (33.3 per game) and zero touchdowns.
- Markese Stepp has rushed for 88 yards on 21 carries (29.3 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground this year.
- This season Malachi Corley has 12 catches and leads the team with 143 yards (71.5 per game) while hauling in one touchdown.
- Easton Messer has contributed with 12 receptions for 141 yards and one touchdown.
- L’Christian Smith has totaled 118 yards on 10 receptions with one touchdown, averaging 39.3 yards per game.
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