Duke vs. UConn: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The UConn Huskies (0-3) will look to upset the No. 18 Duke Blue Devils (3-0) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Pratt & Whitney Stadium. The Blue Devils are undoubtedly the favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 21.5 points. The over/under is 45 in the contest.

Want to bet on Duke or UConn in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Duke vs. UConn Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Duke -21.5 -105 -115 45 -112 -108

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Duke vs UConn
ATS Total Score prediction
UConn (+21.5) Under (45) Duke 30 UConn 14

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Duke UConn
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 36.0 (44) 15.0 (126)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 9.3 (5) 27.7 (88)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 1 (4) 4 (63)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 4 (62) 1 (122)

Duke vs. UConn Betting Insights

Duke Stats and Trends

  • Duke has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Blue Devils have been favored by 21.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • Games featuring Duke have hit the over once this season.
  • In two games this season, the Devils and their opponents have combined to score more than 45 points.
  • Duke’s outings this year have an average total of 50.5, 5.5 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

UConn Stats and Trends

  • UConn has covered once in three matchups with a spread this year.
  • UConn has yet to hit the over in any game this year.
  • The Huskies have played just one game this season that finished with a combined score higher than 45 points.
  • Connecticut’s average game total this season has been 48.7, 3.7 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Duke Players to Watch

  • Riley Leonard leads the team with 530 passing yards (176.7 yards per game) and has a 67.7% completion percentage this year (44-of-65) while throwing one touchdown. He also has 208 rushing yards on 25 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 69.3 yards per game.
  • Jordan Waters has racked up a team-high 240 rushing yards (80.0 yards per game) and scored five touchdowns. He has added four catches for 56 yards (18.7 receiving yards per game).
  • Jalon Calhoun has 14 catches, leading his team with 182 yards (60.7 ypg) while also scoring one touchdown this season.
  • Jordan Moore has chipped in with 160 yards (on 12 catches) and one touchdown.
  • This season Nicky Dalmolin is averaging 26.7 yards per game, with six catches for 80 yards.

UConn Players to Watch

  • Ta’Quan Roberson has thrown for 386 yards while completing 54.8% of his passes (34-of-62), with three touchdowns and one interception this year (193.0 yards per game).
  • Devontae Houston has rushed for a team-high 159 yards on 33 attempts (53.0 yards per game) and zero touchdowns. He also has 59 receiving yards on four catches (19.7 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • So far this year Victor Rosa has run for 150 yards on 28 carries (50.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • This season Brett Buckman has 16 receptions for a team-high 174 receiving yards (58.0 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Cameron Ross’ stat line this year shows 10 catches for 112 yards. He averages 37.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Justin Joly has caught 11 passes for 109 yards, averaging 36.3 yards per game this year.

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