Duke vs. UConn: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The UConn Huskies (0-3) will look to upset the No. 18 Duke Blue Devils (3-0) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Pratt & Whitney Stadium. The Blue Devils are without a doubt the favorites in this one, with the line posted at 22.5 points. The over/under is 45 in the outing.

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Duke vs. UConn Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Duke -22.5 -112 -108 45 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Duke vs UConn
ATS Total Score prediction
UConn (+22.5) Under (45) Duke 27 UConn 17

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Duke UConn
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 36.0 (48) 15.0 (126)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 9.3 (5) 27.7 (86)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 1 (4) 4 (60)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 4 (65) 1 (123)

Duke vs. UConn Betting Insights

Duke Stats and Trends

  • Duke has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Blue Devils have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 22.5-point favorites.
  • Games featuring Duke have hit the over once this season.
  • The Devils and their opponents have combined to score more than 45 points two times this season (in three games).
  • Duke’s matchups this year have an average point total of 50.5, 5.5 more points than this game’s over/under.

UConn Stats and Trends

  • UConn has covered once in three games with a spread this year.
  • So far this year, no UConn game has hit the over.
  • The Huskies and their opponents have scored more than 45 combined points once this season.
  • Connecticut has a 48.7-point average over/under in their contests this season, 3.7 more points than this game’s point total.

Duke Players to Watch

  • Riley Leonard has thrown for 530 yards while completing 67.7% of his passes (44-of-65), with one touchdown and zero interceptions this year (176.7 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 25 times for 208 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 69.3 yards per game.
  • Jordan Waters has run for a team-high 240 yards on 32 attempts (80.0 yards per game) and five touchdowns. He also has 56 receiving yards on four catches (18.7 yards per game) .
  • Jalon Calhoun has 14 catches, leading his team with 182 yards (60.7 ypg) while also scoring one touchdown this season.
  • Jordan Moore has hauled in 12 catches for 160 yards (53.3 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • This season Nicky Dalmolin is averaging 26.7 yards per game, with six catches for 80 yards.

UConn Players to Watch

  • This season, Ta’Quan Roberson has put up 386 passing yards (193.0 yards per game) while completing 34 of 62 passes (54.8% completion percentage), with three touchdowns and one interception.
  • Devontae Houston has racked up a team-high 159 rushing yards (53.0 yards per game). He has tacked on four catches for 59 yards (19.7 receiving yards per game) with one receiving touchdown.
  • Victor Rosa has rushed for 150 yards on 28 carries (50.0 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground this year.
  • This season Brett Buckman has 16 catches and leads the team with 174 yards (58.0 per game) while hauling in one touchdown.
  • Cameron Ross has hauled in 10 catches for 112 yards (37.3 yards per game).
  • This season Justin Joly has caught 11 passes for 109 yards, averaging 36.3 receiving yards per game.

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