The UConn Huskies (0-3) will look to upset the No. 18 Duke Blue Devils (3-0) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Pratt & Whitney Stadium. The Blue Devils are undoubtedly the favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 21.5 points. The over/under is 45 in the contest.
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Duke vs. UConn Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | -21.5 | -105 | -115 | 45 | -112 | -108 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| UConn (+21.5) | Under (45) | Duke 30 UConn 14 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Duke | UConn | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 36.0 (44) | 15.0 (126) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 9.3 (5) | 27.7 (88) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 1 (4) | 4 (63) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 4 (62) | 1 (122) |
Duke vs. UConn Betting Insights
Duke Stats and Trends
- Duke has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- The Blue Devils have been favored by 21.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- Games featuring Duke have hit the over once this season.
- In two games this season, the Devils and their opponents have combined to score more than 45 points.
- Duke’s outings this year have an average total of 50.5, 5.5 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
UConn Stats and Trends
- UConn has covered once in three matchups with a spread this year.
- UConn has yet to hit the over in any game this year.
- The Huskies have played just one game this season that finished with a combined score higher than 45 points.
- Connecticut’s average game total this season has been 48.7, 3.7 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Duke Players to Watch
- Riley Leonard leads the team with 530 passing yards (176.7 yards per game) and has a 67.7% completion percentage this year (44-of-65) while throwing one touchdown. He also has 208 rushing yards on 25 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 69.3 yards per game.
- Jordan Waters has racked up a team-high 240 rushing yards (80.0 yards per game) and scored five touchdowns. He has added four catches for 56 yards (18.7 receiving yards per game).
- Jalon Calhoun has 14 catches, leading his team with 182 yards (60.7 ypg) while also scoring one touchdown this season.
- Jordan Moore has chipped in with 160 yards (on 12 catches) and one touchdown.
- This season Nicky Dalmolin is averaging 26.7 yards per game, with six catches for 80 yards.
UConn Players to Watch
- Ta’Quan Roberson has thrown for 386 yards while completing 54.8% of his passes (34-of-62), with three touchdowns and one interception this year (193.0 yards per game).
- Devontae Houston has rushed for a team-high 159 yards on 33 attempts (53.0 yards per game) and zero touchdowns. He also has 59 receiving yards on four catches (19.7 yards per game) and one touchdown.
- So far this year Victor Rosa has run for 150 yards on 28 carries (50.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- This season Brett Buckman has 16 receptions for a team-high 174 receiving yards (58.0 per game) and one touchdown.
- Cameron Ross’ stat line this year shows 10 catches for 112 yards. He averages 37.3 receiving yards per game.
- Justin Joly has caught 11 passes for 109 yards, averaging 36.3 yards per game this year.
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