The Texas State Bobcats (2-1) square off against the Nevada Wolf Pack (0-3) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Bobcat Stadium (TX). The Bobcats are heavy favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 17 points. The over/under is 59.5 in the outing.
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Texas State vs. Nevada Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | -17 | -110 | -110 | 59.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Computer Pick
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Nevada (+17) | Over (59.5) | Nevada 31 Texas State 30 |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Team Stat Comparison
| Texas State | Nevada | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 44.0 (13) | 14.7 (127) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 28.3 (89) | 43.3 (127) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 3 (34) | 4 (63) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 4 (62) | 1 (122) |
Texas State vs. Nevada Betting Insights
Texas State Stats and Trends
- Texas State has compiled a 3-0-0 ATS record so far this year.
- The Bobcats have been favored by 17 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- So far this season, two Texas State games have gone over the point total.
- Bobcats games have gone over 59.5 points two times this season (over three outings).
- The average total in Texas State’s outings this year is 62.2, 2.7 more points than this game’s over/under.
Nevada Stats and Trends
- Nevada has won one game against the spread this season.
- The Wolf Pack have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 17-point underdogs.
- Games featuring Nevada have gone over the point total once this season.
- The Wolf Pack and their opponents have scored more than 59.5 combined points once this season.
- The average total for Nevada’s games this season is 57.5 points, 2.0 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
Texas State Players to Watch
- This season, TJ Finley has racked up 760 passing yards (253.3 yards per game) while connecting on 55 of 81 passes (67.9% completion percentage), with six touchdowns and zero interceptions.
- Ismail Mahdi has churned out a team-high 183 rushing yards (61.0 yards per game) and scored two touchdowns.
- So far this year Malik Hornsby has run for 133 yards on 10 carries (133.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Kole Wilson has hauled in 13 receptions for 184 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 61.3 receiving yards per game.
- Drew Donley’s stat line this year shows nine catches for 161 yards and one touchdown. He puts up 53.7 receiving yards per game.
- This season Joey Hobert is averaging 51.3 yards per game, with 11 catches for 154 yards and one touchdown.
Nevada Players to Watch
- Brendon Lewis has thrown for 376 yards while completing 60.9% of his passes (42-of-69), with zero touchdowns and one interception this year (125.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 28 times for 85 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 28.3 yards per game.
- Sean Dollars has 32 attempts for a team-high 115 rushing yards (38.3 per game) and two touchdowns. He also has nine catches for 54 receiving yards (18.0 per game).
- Jamaal Bell has hauled in 21 passes for a team-best 208 yards with one touchdown. He averages 69.3 yards per game.
- Spencer Curtis has also added six receptions for 99 yards.
- John Jackson III is averaging 26.3 yards per game, racking up six receptions for 79 yards.
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