Texas State vs. Nevada: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Nevada Wolf Pack (0-3) will look to upset the Texas State Bobcats (2-1) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Bobcat Stadium (TX). The Bobcats are without a doubt the favorites in this one, with the line posted at 17 points. The over/under for the contest is 59.5 points.

Want to bet on Texas State or Nevada in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Texas State vs. Nevada Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Texas State -17 -112 -108 59.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Texas State vs Nevada
ATS Total Score prediction
Nevada (+17) Over (59.5) Texas State 32 Nevada 29

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Texas State Nevada
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 44.0 (17) 14.7 (127)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 28.3 (87) 43.3 (124)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (33) 4 (60)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 4 (65) 2 (105)

Texas State vs. Nevada Betting Insights

Texas State Stats and Trends

  • Texas State has covered three times in three matchups with a spread this season.
  • The Bobcats have been favored by 17 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • So far this season, two Texas State games have hit the over.
  • In two games this season, the Bobcats and their opponents have combined to put up more than 59.5 points.
  • The average total in Texas State’s contests this year is 62.2, 2.7 more than this matchup’s over/under.

Nevada Stats and Trends

  • Nevada has covered once in three games with a spread this year.
  • The Wolf Pack have covered the spread once when an underdog by 17 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
  • Nevada games have gone over the point total once this season.
  • The Wolf Pack and their opponents have scored more than 59.5 combined points once this season.
  • Nevada’s outings this season have a 57.5-point average over/under, 2.0 fewer points than this game’s total.

Texas State Players to Watch

  • TJ Finley has thrown for 760 yards while completing 67.9% of his passes (55-of-81), with six touchdowns and zero interceptions this year (253.3 yards per game).
  • Ismail Mahdi has churned out a team-high 183 rushing yards (61.0 yards per game) and scored two touchdowns.
  • Malik Hornsby has 133 yards on 10 carries (133.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Kole Wilson has hauled in 13 receptions for 184 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 61.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Drew Donley has added 161 yards (on nine catches) and one touchdown.
  • Joey Hobert is averaging 51.3 yards per game, racking up 11 receptions for 154 yards and one touchdown.

Nevada Players to Watch

  • This year, Brendon Lewis has recorded 376 passing yards (125.3 yards per game) while going 42-for-69 (60.9% completion percentage) and throwing one interception. He has tacked on 85 rushing yards on 28 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 28.3 yards per game.
  • Sean Dollars has rushed for a team-high 115 yards on 32 carries (38.3 yards per game) and two touchdowns. He also has 54 receiving yards on nine catches (18.0 yards per game) .
  • Jamaal Bell has 21 catches, leading his team with 208 yards (69.3 ypg) while scoring one touchdown this season.
  • Spencer Curtis’ stat line this year shows six catches for 99 yards. He averages 33.0 receiving yards per game.
  • This season John Jackson III is averaging 26.3 yards per game, with six catches for 79 yards.

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