Texas State vs. Nevada: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips – September 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 17, 2023

The Texas State Bobcats (2-1) square off against the Nevada Wolf Pack (0-3) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 at Bobcat Stadium (TX). The Bobcats are heavy favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 17 points. The over/under is 59.5 in the outing.

Want to bet on Texas State or Nevada in this matchup? Head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your wager today!

Texas State vs. Nevada Odds

Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Texas State -17 -110 -110 59.5 -110 -110

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Computer Pick

Computer picks for Texas State vs Nevada
ATS Total Score prediction
Nevada (+17) Over (59.5) Nevada 31 Texas State 30

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Comparison

Texas State Nevada
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 44.0 (13) 14.7 (127)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 28.3 (89) 43.3 (127)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 3 (34) 4 (63)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 4 (62) 1 (122)

Texas State vs. Nevada Betting Insights

Texas State Stats and Trends

  • Texas State has compiled a 3-0-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Bobcats have been favored by 17 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • So far this season, two Texas State games have gone over the point total.
  • Bobcats games have gone over 59.5 points two times this season (over three outings).
  • The average total in Texas State’s outings this year is 62.2, 2.7 more points than this game’s over/under.

Nevada Stats and Trends

  • Nevada has won one game against the spread this season.
  • The Wolf Pack have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 17-point underdogs.
  • Games featuring Nevada have gone over the point total once this season.
  • The Wolf Pack and their opponents have scored more than 59.5 combined points once this season.
  • The average total for Nevada’s games this season is 57.5 points, 2.0 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Texas State Players to Watch

  • This season, TJ Finley has racked up 760 passing yards (253.3 yards per game) while connecting on 55 of 81 passes (67.9% completion percentage), with six touchdowns and zero interceptions.
  • Ismail Mahdi has churned out a team-high 183 rushing yards (61.0 yards per game) and scored two touchdowns.
  • So far this year Malik Hornsby has run for 133 yards on 10 carries (133.0 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Kole Wilson has hauled in 13 receptions for 184 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 61.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Drew Donley’s stat line this year shows nine catches for 161 yards and one touchdown. He puts up 53.7 receiving yards per game.
  • This season Joey Hobert is averaging 51.3 yards per game, with 11 catches for 154 yards and one touchdown.

Nevada Players to Watch

  • Brendon Lewis has thrown for 376 yards while completing 60.9% of his passes (42-of-69), with zero touchdowns and one interception this year (125.3 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 28 times for 85 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 28.3 yards per game.
  • Sean Dollars has 32 attempts for a team-high 115 rushing yards (38.3 per game) and two touchdowns. He also has nine catches for 54 receiving yards (18.0 per game).
  • Jamaal Bell has hauled in 21 passes for a team-best 208 yards with one touchdown. He averages 69.3 yards per game.
  • Spencer Curtis has also added six receptions for 99 yards.
  • John Jackson III is averaging 26.3 yards per game, racking up six receptions for 79 yards.

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