The Boston Red Sox (74-75) take a three-game losing streak into a home matchup versus the Toronto Blue Jays (82-67), at 1:37 PM ET on Sunday.
The Red Sox are an underdog away (+123) at the Blue Jays (-146). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of September 17, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -146 | +123 | 8 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been favorites in 113 games this season and won 62 (54.9%) of those contests.
- Toronto has a record of 35-25 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -146 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 59.3% chance to win.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of 149 opportunities.
- The Blue Jays are 68-81-0 ATS in their 149 games with a spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.74 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been victorious in 35, or 46.1%, of the 76 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Boston has a win-loss record of 18-10 when favored by +123 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 79 of its 149 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox are 72-77-0 against the spread in their 149 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.75 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Hyun-Jin Ryu
- Ryu and his team have a record of 5-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw six innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Ryu has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made eight appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Ryu starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-2.
- Ryu’s team has a 5-3 record in his starts this season.
- In games Ryu has started this season, the teams are 6-2-0 at hitting the over.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza | 66 | 50.2 | 49 | 1.24 | 22 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 65 | 59.1 | 71 | 4.25 | 16 | 3 |
| Erik Swanson | 62 | 60.2 | 68 | 2.97 | 28 | 4 |
| Jordan Hicks | 59 | 59.2 | 74 | 3.32 | 10 | 12 |
| Jordan Romano | 54 | 55 | 68 | 2.45 | 2 | 35 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta (9-9) is looking for his 10th victory when he gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 14th start of the season. He has a 4.56 ERA in 122 1/3 innings pitched, with 160 strikeouts.
- The righty’s last time out was on Tuesday against the New York Yankees, when he went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Pivetta has pitched five or more innings in a game 13 times this season heading into this matchup.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in 13 of his 35 appearances this season.
- The Red Sox have a 4-5 record in Pivetta’s nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Pivetta’s team has compiled a 6-7 record in his 13 starts.
- Pivetta has had 13 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in five of those games.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 53 | 49.1 | 44 | 1.09 | 23 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 53 | 77 | 71 | 2.92 | 19 | 3 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 42 | 46.1 | 54 | 3.50 | 4 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 39 | 42 | 47 | 3.86 | 10 | 1 |
| Mauricio Llovera | 25 | 30 | 26 | 4.20 | 0 | 0 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays are 31-14 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Toronto has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 31 games this season, and has gone 23-8 in those outings.
- The team has put up eight or more hits 107 times this season, and has a 72-35 record in those games.
- Toronto is 59-15 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 43 games this season, and are 30-13 in those contests.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 33-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has gone 30-12 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 61-41 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 77 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 62-15.
- They have a 17-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-146)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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