Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 16, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (80-67) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (65-82) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.

The Cardinals are an underdog at home (+105) against the Phillies (-125). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.

The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 16, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -125 +105 9

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 99 games this season and won 58 (58.6%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has entered 75 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 48-27 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
  • Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 67 of 147 chances this season.
  • In 147 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 67-80-0 ATS.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 14
ERA 4.55
K/9 8.6

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have come away with 31 wins in the 70 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 22 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with St. Louis has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 71 of 146 chances this season.
  • In 146 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 68-78-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 14
ERA 5.38
K/9 6.8

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez

  • When Suarez starts, his team is 10-9-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed two hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Sunday.
  • In 19 starts, Suarez has pitched through or past the fifth inning 16 times. He has a season average of 5.6 frames per outing.
  • He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 19 chances this season.
  • Suarez’s team has won 45.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-6).
  • In games Suarez has started, his team is 10-9.
  • Games started by Suarez have a 7-9-3 record at hitting the over this season.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Craig Kimbrel 65 63 84 3.29 6 23
Gregory Soto 61 54.2 54 4.94 20 2
Seranthony Domínguez 52 45 44 4.00 13 2
Jeff Hoffman 46 48 64 2.25 8 1
Matt Strahm 42 82.1 104 3.28 9 1

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas

  • Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals, his 32nd of the season. He is 7-11 with a 4.75 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 176 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Mikolas will aim to last five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 31 outings this season.
  • The Cardinals are 5-9 in Mikolas’ 14 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Mikolas’ team is 13-18 over his 31 starts.
  • Mikolas has started 30 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 16 of them.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Andre Pallante 55 61 41 5.16 14 0
Drew VerHagen 54 56 55 4.02 12 0
Giovanny Gallegos 54 54.2 59 4.28 19 10
John King 29 32.2 17 3.86 9 0
Ryan Helsley 27 31 41 2.61 2 10

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies have hit at least two round-trippers in 56 games this season, and are 40-16 in those outings.
  • Philadelphia has collected at least five extra-base hits in 42 games this season, and has gone 32-10 in those outings.
  • The team is 63-35 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
  • Philadelphia is 59-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Phillies are 36-19 in the 55 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 66 games this season and are 43-23 in those matchups.
  • St. Louis has gone 33-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 100 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 63-37.
  • In 73 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 57-16.
  • In 47 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-27

Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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