The Philadelphia Phillies (80-67) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (65-82) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Cardinals are an underdog at home (+105) against the Phillies (-125). The matchup has an over/under of 9 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 16, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -125 | +105 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 99 games this season and won 58 (58.6%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has entered 75 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 48-27 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 67 of 147 chances this season.
- In 147 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 67-80-0 ATS.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have come away with 31 wins in the 70 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 22 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with St. Louis has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 71 of 146 chances this season.
- In 146 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 68-78-0 against the spread.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 5.38 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- When Suarez starts, his team is 10-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed two hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Sunday.
- In 19 starts, Suarez has pitched through or past the fifth inning 16 times. He has a season average of 5.6 frames per outing.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 19 chances this season.
- Suarez’s team has won 45.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-6).
- In games Suarez has started, his team is 10-9.
- Games started by Suarez have a 7-9-3 record at hitting the over this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 65 | 63 | 84 | 3.29 | 6 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 61 | 54.2 | 54 | 4.94 | 20 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 52 | 45 | 44 | 4.00 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 46 | 48 | 64 | 2.25 | 8 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 42 | 82.1 | 104 | 3.28 | 9 | 1 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas
- Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals, his 32nd of the season. He is 7-11 with a 4.75 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 176 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Mikolas will aim to last five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 31 outings this season.
- The Cardinals are 5-9 in Mikolas’ 14 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Mikolas’ team is 13-18 over his 31 starts.
- Mikolas has started 30 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 16 of them.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 55 | 61 | 41 | 5.16 | 14 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 54 | 56 | 55 | 4.02 | 12 | 0 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 54 | 54.2 | 59 | 4.28 | 19 | 10 |
| John King | 29 | 32.2 | 17 | 3.86 | 9 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 27 | 31 | 41 | 2.61 | 2 | 10 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have hit at least two round-trippers in 56 games this season, and are 40-16 in those outings.
- Philadelphia has collected at least five extra-base hits in 42 games this season, and has gone 32-10 in those outings.
- The team is 63-35 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 59-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies are 36-19 in the 55 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 66 games this season and are 43-23 in those matchups.
- St. Louis has gone 33-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 100 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 63-37.
- In 73 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 57-16.
- In 47 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 20-27
Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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