Astros vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 16, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 16, 2023

The Kansas City Royals (47-101) will aim to keep a three-game winning streak going when they host the Houston Astros (83-65) at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Astros are favored away from home (-150) versus the Royals (+125). The over/under for this game is set at 9.5.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 16, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Astros -150 +125 9.5

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have been favored 108 times and won 58, or 53.7%, of those games.
  • Houston is 34-22 this season when entering a game favored by -150 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 60% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of 148 games with a total.
  • The Astros are 74-74-0 ATS in their 148 games with a spread this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 7.0
HR 22
ERA 4.25
K/9 9.0

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been underdogs in 127 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (31.5%) in those contests.
  • Kansas City has a mark of 32-68 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 71 of its 148 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Royals are 64-84-0 against the spread in their 148 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 15
ERA 4.71
K/9 7.1

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Astros or Royals, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France

  • France and his team have a record of 12-9-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in six innings against the San Diego Padres.
  • France will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 22 chances this season.
  • France’s team is 9-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • France’s team is 13-8 when he starts this season.
  • Games France has started this season hit the over 12 times in 21 chances.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Bryan Abreu 64 65 90 1.94 23 4
Kendall Graveman 62 62.1 63 3.32 12 8
Héctor Neris 61 59.2 68 1.81 27 2
Phil Maton 61 60.2 69 3.26 8 1
Rafael Montero 61 62.2 73 4.88 10 1

Royals Probable Pitcher – Cole Ragans

  • Ragans gets the start for the Royals, his 11th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 3.13 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 77 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s last time out was on Sunday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up only one hit.
  • Ragans is seeking his 10th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.0 innings per start.
  • He has had 15 appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Royals are 2-4 in Ragans’ six starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Ragans’ team has won four of his 10 starts.
  • Ragans’ starts hit the over on the run total three times in 10 games with a set total this season.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Hernandez 54 65.2 75 4.80 13 4
Taylor Clarke 50 54.2 62 5.60 11 1
Tucker Davidson 31 47 44 6.32 0 2
Amir Garrett 25 24.1 28 3.33 0 0
Jackson Kowar 18 23.2 25 5.32 0 0

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros are 39-12 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
  • Houston is 27-7 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits 101 times this season, and has a 77-24 record in those games.
  • Houston is 72-11 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Astros are 39-8 over the 47 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They are 20-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Kansas City has won 17 of its 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 83 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 36-47.
  • In 49 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 32-17.
  • They have a 6-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Astros vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Astros (-150)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy