Derek Carr: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 2 Saints Vs Panthers – September 18, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 14, 2023

Derek Carr and the New Orleans Saints will match up against the Carolina Panthers at 7:15 PM ET on Monday in Week 2 of the 2023 NFL campaign.

Derek Carr Player Props vs the Panthers

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
230.5 -115 1.5 +110 3.5 -105 +850

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 6 5
Games w/1+ TDs 12 0
Games w/2+ TDs 10 0

Derek Carr’s Passing Trends

  • Carr collected 3,522 passing yards (234.8 per game) with a 60.8% completion percentage last year (305-of-502), while throwing for 24 touchdowns with 14 interceptions.
  • Carr averaged 7.0 yards per pass attempt last year, 18th in the league.
  • Carr was 14th in the league last season with 3,522 passing yards, and 12th with 24 TDs.

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Carr’s Rushing Trends

  • He averaged 4.3 rushing yards per carry (102 yards on 24 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Carr (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Panthers (2022) Prediction
230.5+ Passing Yards 73.3% 46.8% 47.1% 63.4%
1+ Passing TDs 80% 77.7% 82.4% 80.3%
2+ Passing TDs 66.7% 40.5% 41.2% 57%
3.5+ Rushing Yards 40% 99.8% 100% 62.5%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 35.1% 33.3% 12.7%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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