Baker Mayfield: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 2 Buccaneers Vs Bears – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 13, 2023

NFL action in Week 2 will see Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face the Chicago Bears at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Baker Mayfield Player Props vs the Bears

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
223.5 +100 1.5 +145 11.5 -115 +500

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 3 2
Games w/1+ TDs 8 1
Games w/2+ TDs 2 0

Baker Mayfield’s Passing Trends

  • Mayfield threw for 2,163 yards last season (180.3 per game) while completing 60% of his passes (201-of-335), with 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
  • Mayfield averaged 6.5 yards per pass attempt last season, 28th in the NFL.
  • Mayfield ranked 29th in the league last season with 2,163 passing yards, and 31st with 10 touchdowns through the air.

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Mayfield’s Rushing Trends

  • Mayfield also added 89 rushing yards on 31 carries one rushing touchdown (averaging 7.4 yards per game).
  • He averaged 2.9 yards per carry and 7.4 yards per game last season.

This Week’s Predictions

Mayfield (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Bears (2022) Prediction
223.5+ Passing Yards 25% 51.2% 62.5% 37.6%
1+ Passing TDs 66.7% 77.7% 81.3% 71.7%
2+ Passing TDs 16.7% 40.5% 37.5% 24.9%
11.5+ Rushing Yards 25% 98.1% 100% 52.9%
1+ Rushing TDs 8.3% 35.1% 56.7% 23.8%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 13.3% 4.1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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