Patrick Mahomes II will hope to make a difference for the Kansas City Chiefs when they take on the Jacksonville Jaguars at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 2 of the NFL season.
Patrick Mahomes II Player Props vs the Jaguars
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291.5 | -115 | 2.5 | +130 | 21.5 | -115 | +300 |
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2022 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 10 | 8 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 17 | 4 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 12 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends
- Last season Mahomes put together a monster passing stat line with 5,250 yards (308.8 per game), a 67.1% completion percentage (435-of-648), 41 touchdowns, and only 12 interceptions.
- Mahomes averaged 8.1 yards per pass attempt last season, second in the NFL.
- Mahomes ranked first in the league last season in both passing yards (5,250) and TDs (41).
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends
- Mahomes also added 358 rushing yards on 61 carries four rushing touchdowns (averaging 21.1 yards per game).
- He averaged 5.9 rushing yards per carry (358 yards on 61 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Mahomes (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Jaguars (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291.5+ Passing Yards | 64.7% | 20% | 25% | 49.2% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 77.7% | 70% | 89.7% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 70.6% | 40.5% | 40% | 59.2% |
| 21.5+ Rushing Yards | 52.9% | 91.4% | 89.3% | 66.8% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 23.5% | 35.1% | 46.4% | 30.7% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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