Tua Tagovailoa: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 2 Dolphins Vs Patriots – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 13, 2023

NFL action in Week 2 at Gillette Stadium will see the Miami Dolphins and Tua Tagovailoa hit the field against the New England Patriots at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Props vs the Patriots

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
264.5 -115 1.5 -125 5.5 +100 +475

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 9 4
Games w/1+ TDs 12 0
Games w/2+ TDs 6 0

Tua Tagovailoa’s Passing Trends

  • Tagovailoa threw for 3,548 yards while completing 64.8% of his passes (259-of-400), with 25 touchdowns and eight interceptions last year (272.9 yards per game).
  • With 3,548 yards on 400 pass attempts, Tagovailoa was first in the NFL with 8.9 yards per attempt last year.
  • Tagovailoa ranked 12th in the league last season with 3,548 passing yards, and eighth with 25 passing TDs.

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Tagovailoa’s Rushing Trends

  • He averaged 2.9 rushing yards per carry (70 yards on 24 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Tagovailoa (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Patriots (2022) Prediction
264.5+ Passing Yards 61.5% 29.5% 27.8% 49.1%
1+ Passing TDs 92.3% 77.7% 77.8% 86.8%
2+ Passing TDs 46.2% 40.5% 44.4% 45%
5.5+ Rushing Yards 30.8% 99.4% 100% 56.7%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 35.1% 18.5% 9%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 0.0% 0.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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