Justin Herbert: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 2 Chargers Vs Titans – September 17, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 13, 2023

Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers will take the field against the Tennessee Titans at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season.

Justin Herbert Player Props vs the Titans

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
286.5 -120 1.5 -175 9.5 -110 +360

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 7 5
Games w/1+ TDs 14 0
Games w/2+ TDs 8 0

Justin Herbert’s Passing Trends

  • Herbert had a stellar stat line last year of 4,739 passing yards with a 68.2% completion rate (477-of-699), 25 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, and an average of 278.8 yards per game.
  • Herbert averaged 6.8 yards per pass attempt last season, 23rd in the NFL.
  • Herbert ranked eighth in the league last season with 25 passing TDs, and second with 4,739 yards.

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Herbert’s Rushing Trends

  • He racked up 2.7 yards per carry (147 yards on 54 attempts) last season.

This Week’s Predictions

Herbert (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Titans (2022) Prediction
286.5+ Passing Yards 41.2% 20.8% 47.1% 40.1%
1+ Passing TDs 82.4% 77.7% 94.1% 84.7%
2+ Passing TDs 47.1% 40.5% 52.9% 47.7%
9.5+ Rushing Yards 29.4% 98.6% 95.5% 54.6%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 35.1% 27.3% 11.2%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 0.0% 0.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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