Ezekiel Elliott: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Patriots Vs Eagles – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 8, 2023

Ezekiel Elliott and the New England Patriots will hit the field against the Philadelphia Eagles at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season.

Ezekiel Elliott Player Props vs the Eagles

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
26.5 0 4.5 0 +290

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 7 3
Games w/1+ TDs 10 0
Games w/2+ TDs 2 0

Ezekiel Elliott’s Rushing Trends

  • Elliott rushed for 876 yards and 12 touchdowns last season.
  • He averaged 3.8 rushing yards per attempt (876 yards on 231 carries), 41st in the NFL.
  • Elliott was 22nd in the league with 876 yards rushing last season, and his 12 rushing TDs ranked fifth.

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Elliott’s Receiving Trends

  • Elliott averaged 4.0 yards per catch last year, with 92 yards on 17 receptions.

This Week’s Predictions

Elliott (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Eagles (2022) Prediction
26.5+ Rushing Yards 93.3% 84.6% 93.1% 92.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 66.7% 35.1% 48.3% 58.2%
2+ Rushing TDs 13.3% 6.4% 3.4% 10%
4.5+ Receiving Yards 46.7% 97.9% 97.8% 65.9%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 22.3% 21.3% 8.1%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 2.2% 1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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