Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds and Game Preview – September 8

The Phoenix Mercury (9-29) will attempt to snap a nine-game losing streak when hosting the Las Vegas Aces (32-6) on September 8, 2023 at Footprint Center.

If you are trying to make an informed wager on Friday’s game, dig into the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).

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Spread: Mercury (-18.5) to Cover

• The model favors the Aces by 16.1 points, just 2.4 less than the 18.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
• The Mercury’s ATS record is 10-24-0 this season.
• Phoenix is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least a 18.5-point underdog.
• The Aces have gone 17-17-0 ATS this season.
• When it has played as at least 18.5-point favorites this season, Las Vegas is 3-0 against the spread.

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Total: Over 165

• The model predicts a total 2.4 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
• Aces games have finished over 165 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, 22 times (out of 34) this year.
• Phoenix’s games have gone over 165 total points scored in 13 of 34 total matchups this year.
• The Aces have hit the over in 17 of their 34 games with a set total (50%).
• The teams have hit the over in 15 of the Mercury’s 34 games with a set total.

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Moneyline Winner: Aces (-2100)

• Prediction: Aces 92, Mercury 76
• Las Vegas has won 87.9% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (29-4).

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Aces Leaders

• The Aces leader in points and rebounds is A’ja Wilson, who scores 22.3 points and pulls down 9.6 rebounds per game.
• Las Vegas’ best passer is Chelsea Gray, who averages 7.1 assists per game to go with her 15.1 PPG scoring average.
• The Aces get the most three-point shooting production out of Kelsey Plum, who makes 2.4 threes per game.
• The Las Vegas steals leader is Gray, who averages 1.4 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Wilson, who compiles 2.2 rejections per contest.

Aces Injuries

Mercury Leaders

• Brittney Griner averages 17.7 points per game and is the top scorer for the Mercury.
• Phoenix’s leader in rebounds is Brianna Turner with 6.4 per game, and its leader in assists is Sug Sutton with 4.6 per game.
• Sophie Cunningham is the top scorer from deep for the Mercury, hitting 1.9 threes per game.
• Phoenix’s leader in steals is Moriah Jefferson (1.1 per game), and its leader in blocks is Griner (1.7 per game).

Mercury Injuries

All stats in this article refer to the 2023 regular season.

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