Stefon Diggs: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Bills Vs Jets – September 11, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 7, 2023

Stefon Diggs’ Buffalo Bills will take the field against the New York Jets at 8:15 PM ET on Monday in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season.

Stefon Diggs Player Props vs the Jets

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
69.5 0 +120

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 9
Games w/1+ TDs 9
Games w/2+ TDs 1

Stefon Diggs’ Receiving Trends

  • Stefon Diggs reeled in 108 passes for 1,429 yards last season with 11 touchdowns. He was targeted 154 times, and averaged 89.3 yards per game.
  • Last year Diggs gained 9.3 yards per reception, 15th in the NFL.
  • Diggs ranked fifth in the league with 1,429 receiving yards last season, and third with 11 receiving TDs.

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This Week’s Predictions

Diggs (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Jets (2022) Prediction
69.5+ Receiving Yards 68.8% 18.4% 14.6% 48.9%
1+ Receiving TDs 56.2% 22.3% 14.6% 41.6%
2+ Receiving TDs 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 4.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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