James Conner: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Cardinals Vs Commanders – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 7, 2023

James Conner’s Arizona Cardinals will match up against the Washington Commanders at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season.

James Conner Player Props vs the Commanders

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
59.5 0 17.5 0 +180

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 8 9
Games w/1+ TDs 6 1
Games w/2+ TDs 1 0

James Conner’s Rushing Trends

  • James Conner compiled 782 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on the ground in addition to 300 receiving yards and one touchdown through the air during last year’s campaign.
  • He averaged 4.3 yards per carry (31st in league) while compiling 60.2 yards per game last year.
  • Conner put up 782 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns to rank 31st and 16th, respectively, in those categories last season.

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Conner’s Receiving Trends

  • Last season Conner gained 5.2 yards per reception, 135th in the league.

This Week’s Predictions

Conner (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Commanders (2022) Prediction
59.5+ Rushing Yards 46.2% 42.1% 37% 43.4%
1+ Rushing TDs 46.2% 35.1% 18.5% 37.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 7.7% 6.4% 3.7% 6.5%
17.5+ Receiving Yards 76.9% 78.9% 89.6% 80.3%
1+ Receiving TDs 7.7% 22.3% 29.9% 15.1%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 6% 1.9%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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