Derrick Henry and his Tennessee Titans teammates take the field against the New Orleans Saints in a Week 1 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Derrick Henry Player Props vs the Saints
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79.5 | 0 | 10.5 | 0 |
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2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 9 | 9 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 10 | 0 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
Derrick Henry’s Rushing Trends
- Henry was a force on the ground last season, with 13 rushing touchdowns on 96.1 yards per game. Henry was also effective in the passing game, tallying 33 catches over the course of the year.
- He averaged 4.4 yards per carry (25th in league) while compiling 96.1 yards per game last year.
- Henry’s 1,538 rushing yards and 13 TDs each ranked second in the NFL last season.
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Henry’s Receiving Trends
- With 398 yards on 33 receptions, Henry was ninth in the NFL with 9.7 yards per catch last year.
This Week’s Predictions
| Henry (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Saints (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79.5+ Rushing Yards | 75% | 24.1% | 30% | 57.4% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 62.5% | 35.1% | 30% | 51% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 18.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 13.4% |
| 10.5+ Receiving Yards | 56.2% | 91.9% | 90.3% | 69.2% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 22.3% | 15.3% | 6.6% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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