Tua Tagovailoa: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Dolphins Vs Chargers – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

Week 1 NFL action will see Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins face off against the Los Angeles Chargers at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Props vs the Chargers

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
264.5 +105 1.5 0 4.5 0 +380

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 9 4
Games w/1+ TDs 12 0
Games w/2+ TDs 6 0

Tua Tagovailoa’s Passing Trends

  • Last season Tagovailoa recorded 3,548 yards (272.9 per game), a 64.8% completion percentage (259-of-400), 25 touchdowns, and only eight interceptions.
  • With 3,548 yards on 400 pass attempts, Tagovailoa was first in the league with 8.9 yards per attempt last season.
  • Tagovailoa ranked 12th in the league last season with 3,548 passing yards, and eighth with 25 touchdowns through the air.

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Tagovailoa’s Rushing Trends

  • He averaged 2.9 yards per carry and 5.4 yards per game last season.

This Week’s Predictions

Tagovailoa (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Chargers (2022) Prediction
264.5+ Passing Yards 61.5% 29.5% 22.2% 47.7%
1+ Passing TDs 92.3% 77.7% 72.2% 85.4%
2+ Passing TDs 46.2% 40.5% 55.6% 47.8%
4.5+ Rushing Yards 30.8% 99.5% 100% 56.7%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 35.1% 42.3% 15%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 11.5% 3.7%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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