Derek Carr: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Saints Vs Titans – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

NFL play in Week 1 will see the New Orleans Saints and Derek Carr face the Tennessee Titans at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.

Derek Carr Player Props vs the Titans

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
241.5 0 1.5 +114 2.5 0 +800

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 6 5
Games w/1+ TDs 12 0
Games w/2+ TDs 10 0

Derek Carr’s Passing Trends

  • Last season Carr had 3,522 yards (234.8 per game), a 60.8% completion percentage (305-of-502), 24 touchdowns, and only 14 interceptions.
  • Carr averaged 7.0 yards per pass attempt last season, 18th in the league.
  • Carr’s 3,522 passing yards and 24 passing touchdowns ranked 14th and 12th, respectively, in NFL action last season.

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Carr’s Rushing Trends

  • He averaged 4.3 rushing yards per carry (102 yards on 24 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Carr (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Titans (2022) Prediction
241.5+ Passing Yards 53.3% 40.3% 70.6% 56%
1+ Passing TDs 80% 77.7% 94.1% 83.2%
2+ Passing TDs 66.7% 40.5% 52.9% 60%
2.5+ Rushing Yards 46.7% 99.8% 100% 66.7%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 35.1% 27.3% 11.2%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.4% 0% 0.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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