Mike Williams: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 1 Chargers Vs Dolphins – September 10, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 6, 2023

NFL action in Week 1 will see the Los Angeles Chargers and Mike Williams match up against the Miami Dolphins at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday.

Mike Williams Player Props vs the Dolphins

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
59.5 0 +150

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2022 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 8
Games w/1+ TDs 4
Games w/2+ TDs 0

Mike Williams’ Receiving Trends

  • Williams reeled in 63 passes for 895 yards last season, the team-high amongst current Chargers, and scored four touchdowns. He was targeted 93 times and averaged 68.8 yards per game.
  • Last season Williams gained 9.6 yards per reception, 11th in the NFL.
  • Williams racked up 895 receiving yards and four receiving TDs last season, ranking 27th and 46th, respectively, in the NFL.

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This Week’s Predictions

Williams (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Dolphins (2022) Prediction
59.5+ Receiving Yards 61.5% 24.8% 26% 48%
1+ Receiving TDs 30.8% 22.3% 26% 28.5%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.2% 1% 0.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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